Long

Strategies to Buy This Value Automobile Stock

Updated
NYSE:FCAU has seen considerable improvement under its new management, and with the recent cleaning up of debt, they announced last month that they will be giving out dividends. FCAU has not paid a dividend since 2016, so this is incredible news for what I believe to be a very valuable stock to own in the next few years.

Despite positive earnings, NYSE:FCAU has seen a tremendous drop. Historically, this is followed by a drop in sentiment and an eventual rebound. Though a "cup and handle" rebound attempt was seen, it was immediately followed by a descending triangle pattern, breaking out into new lows. The average RSI-26 on the 30min candles seems to be descending linearly to the 30 line, where it historically picks up again. This is suspected to take place between March 14th to March 16th 2019.

My suggestion is to pyramid in your buys once the latest low is tested and stop around a 5.5% low from the initial low after the earnings announcement. This gives you the following target buy points:

$14.34
$14.22
$14.13
$14.07
$14.01
$13.93
$13.80

There is, however, a possibility that the best time to buy will be sooner than later. This, I believe, is largely dependent upon the current overall market trends. The S&P and Nasdaq Composite Indexes have been shaky lately. If the overall market rises, we will see this stock recover much more quickly, since it's Beta is close to a 2. In which case, jump on anytime and ride that bull.
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Turns on there were significant premarket gains this morning due to a news story regarding a deal with PSA. Who knew...
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out*
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There was a drop this morning, pre-market. FCAU seems to have lost 2/3 of the price increase from yesterday. I don't seem much reason for this apart from an article regarding the economic impact of their layoffs, but perhaps it is for lack of follow up good news, thus returning to previous market momentum.
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*see
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Looks like $14.16 was the low and that we are likely to get another bounce around the $14.22 level if you missed that level.

For short term swing trading, getting out before it hits $15.10 would be a good idea. There will likely be people trying to get out around there, nervous about the recent trends. There was some drop off in volume already, indicating lost sentiment, but I doubt it is over, just hanging on for dear life until the next bounce.
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