FCPO WEEK 21 2025: Towards 4000?

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There are 2 scenarios for this week:
Scenario #1 - if price to close and stay above 3857 then there is possibility that it will continue going higher towards 4000 area. However this might be a limited move higher because the overall trend is still bearish. I think that the price will likely retest the 3700 and consolidate for a bit before going bullish.
Scenario #2 - if price to close and stay below 3745 then it should open a move lower towards 3638 area. It would be the lowest price since Aug 2024. This might be the lowest low that we need for price to establish a bullish trend.
If Scenario #1 happens then it will be interesting to analyse the price action to determine the momentum and see whether price already establish a sign that it is ready to go even higher.
Happy trading!

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