Nice analysis last week but I missed the trade. Price is now returning to a strong support where it is a congested zone with overlapping of 2 trench and 2 high volume candles supporting. As usual, I am bullish as long as 1.6256 is not broken. I will long only on a bullish signal at 1.6378 or 1.6256 (just a possible scenario: price temporarily hits below 1.6378 but returns with a bullish pin bar).
Note: Trend is still a down trend, careful with any longs.