📉 GBPAUD Pre-Market Analysis – Weekly Outlook
Date: July 13, 2025
Session: Pre-London Open
Analyst: Papalui | Sub Saharan Technicals
🕵️♂️ Macro Outlook
The British Pound / Australian Dollar (GBPAUD) is currently showing signs of trend exhaustion after reaching major highs around the 2.14932 zone (Marked MHH – Most Recent Higher High). A strong bearish reaction is emerging from this area, suggesting potential for long-term downside retracement or even a reversal.
🔍 Technical Structure Breakdown (1W)
MHH (Major Higher High): 2.14932
WHH (Weekly Higher High): 2.06088
Current Price: 2.05049
Fib 50% Level: Aligned around recent resistance and acting as a pivot zone.
BOS (Break of Structure): Occurred in early 2022, later invalidated by strong bullish rally.
MLL (Major Lower Low Target Zone): Projected zone around 1.59109 - 1.57752
📉 Bearish Scenario: Reversal Play
🔽 Bias: Bearish Reversal
Context: Price has formed a new high but is rejecting near the 50% Fibonacci retracement and supply zone.
Plan: Watch for lower timeframe confirmations (e.g., D1 or H4 structure breaks) below 2.04859 to initiate short positions.
Target Zones:
TP1: 1.86584
TP2: 1.81327
TP3: 1.59109 – aligning with weekly demand and structural lows
🔧 Invalidation: A sustained weekly close above 2.14932 would invalidate this bearish scenario and signal bullish continuation.
🔁 Trade Management Zones
Zone Type Action
2.06088 - 2.14932 Supply/Resistance Monitor for rejections or confirmations of reversal
1.86584 - 1.81327 Intermediate Support Partial TP or structure reassessment
1.59109 Major Demand Full TP / Trend reversal opportunity
🧠 Sentiment & Strategy
This pair has rallied over the past year, but the bearish impulse from the recent high suggests large players may be unloading positions. With key Fibonacci confluence and price action showing weakness, the current zone is a strong sell interest region. Traders should:
Stay alert for weekly or daily lower lows
Use smaller timeframes to refine entries
Avoid premature entries before price confirms lower timeframe structure breaks
📌 Summary
Bias Key Resistance POI Bearish Target
Bearish 2.14932 2.04859 1.59109
Risk Disclosure:
All trading involves risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always manage risk appropriately.
Date: July 13, 2025
Session: Pre-London Open
Analyst: Papalui | Sub Saharan Technicals
🕵️♂️ Macro Outlook
The British Pound / Australian Dollar (GBPAUD) is currently showing signs of trend exhaustion after reaching major highs around the 2.14932 zone (Marked MHH – Most Recent Higher High). A strong bearish reaction is emerging from this area, suggesting potential for long-term downside retracement or even a reversal.
🔍 Technical Structure Breakdown (1W)
MHH (Major Higher High): 2.14932
WHH (Weekly Higher High): 2.06088
Current Price: 2.05049
Fib 50% Level: Aligned around recent resistance and acting as a pivot zone.
BOS (Break of Structure): Occurred in early 2022, later invalidated by strong bullish rally.
MLL (Major Lower Low Target Zone): Projected zone around 1.59109 - 1.57752
📉 Bearish Scenario: Reversal Play
🔽 Bias: Bearish Reversal
Context: Price has formed a new high but is rejecting near the 50% Fibonacci retracement and supply zone.
Plan: Watch for lower timeframe confirmations (e.g., D1 or H4 structure breaks) below 2.04859 to initiate short positions.
Target Zones:
TP1: 1.86584
TP2: 1.81327
TP3: 1.59109 – aligning with weekly demand and structural lows
🔧 Invalidation: A sustained weekly close above 2.14932 would invalidate this bearish scenario and signal bullish continuation.
🔁 Trade Management Zones
Zone Type Action
2.06088 - 2.14932 Supply/Resistance Monitor for rejections or confirmations of reversal
1.86584 - 1.81327 Intermediate Support Partial TP or structure reassessment
1.59109 Major Demand Full TP / Trend reversal opportunity
🧠 Sentiment & Strategy
This pair has rallied over the past year, but the bearish impulse from the recent high suggests large players may be unloading positions. With key Fibonacci confluence and price action showing weakness, the current zone is a strong sell interest region. Traders should:
Stay alert for weekly or daily lower lows
Use smaller timeframes to refine entries
Avoid premature entries before price confirms lower timeframe structure breaks
📌 Summary
Bias Key Resistance POI Bearish Target
Bearish 2.14932 2.04859 1.59109
Risk Disclosure:
All trading involves risk. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always manage risk appropriately.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.