As i write this down GBP/JPY teases us with a triangle on a 1h timeframe with a break and test... and maybe a confirmation?
195.00 level is also there - giving us extra confirmation
the YEN showed some strength since the year began maybe because of the ongoing Japanese fiscal year ending up in march,
but since we are talking about fiscal years, UK's fiscal year concludes in April ! ( during fiscal year end companies tend to repatriate their offshore capital for several reasons: Tax Optimization, Financial Reporting, Dividend Payments, Debt Servicing, Currency Exchange Considerations, Strategic Investments) - this ensure a increased demand for the specific currency making it raise in value ( supply and demand 101)
so where are we at right now:
- Fundamentals favor the GBP in the near term future ( other fundamentals must be taken into consideration - do some research tell me what you find)
- Technically we see an opportunity to profit for the coming fundamentals even tough is a good chance this setup is not the start line of the race upwards
when it comes to Taking profits the only level that comes into mind is 198.200 (not a guarantee but a possibility)
- Other Technical's
the currency sits above the YTD Anchored VWAP and the march Anchored VWAP for some time now,
in terms of Market Structure we see higher highs on the 4h/Daily and previous highs taken out ( feb high and Jan high) - this an uptrend no doubt
For day traders:
on the lower timeframes we see some head & Shoulders formations gearing up
1min_ chart completed H&S
5m_chart H&S in construction -
and if I'm stretching my luck a bit maybe another H&S on the 15 min
that's all there is to it!
Whatever your trading remember to take the risks into consideration and always do your own analysis before taking a decision !!
I'm still new to sharing ideas on the community - don't start throwing rocks now if your Bearish :D
-Not financial Advice !
195.00 level is also there - giving us extra confirmation
the YEN showed some strength since the year began maybe because of the ongoing Japanese fiscal year ending up in march,
but since we are talking about fiscal years, UK's fiscal year concludes in April ! ( during fiscal year end companies tend to repatriate their offshore capital for several reasons: Tax Optimization, Financial Reporting, Dividend Payments, Debt Servicing, Currency Exchange Considerations, Strategic Investments) - this ensure a increased demand for the specific currency making it raise in value ( supply and demand 101)
so where are we at right now:
- Fundamentals favor the GBP in the near term future ( other fundamentals must be taken into consideration - do some research tell me what you find)
- Technically we see an opportunity to profit for the coming fundamentals even tough is a good chance this setup is not the start line of the race upwards
when it comes to Taking profits the only level that comes into mind is 198.200 (not a guarantee but a possibility)
- Other Technical's
the currency sits above the YTD Anchored VWAP and the march Anchored VWAP for some time now,
in terms of Market Structure we see higher highs on the 4h/Daily and previous highs taken out ( feb high and Jan high) - this an uptrend no doubt
For day traders:
on the lower timeframes we see some head & Shoulders formations gearing up
1min_ chart completed H&S
5m_chart H&S in construction -
and if I'm stretching my luck a bit maybe another H&S on the 15 min
that's all there is to it!
Whatever your trading remember to take the risks into consideration and always do your own analysis before taking a decision !!
I'm still new to sharing ideas on the community - don't start throwing rocks now if your Bearish :D
-Not financial Advice !
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Trade closed: stop reached
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.