GBPNZD Top-Down Analysis

Hello Traders,

Here is the Top-Down Analysis of GBPNZD (Monthly, Weekly, Daily for direction and 4H for entry) for

Week 41 - 05 Oct

M > Market is moving in a rising channel. Price reached support of trend line and also monthly support and faced rejection.

W > Price is now testing weekly resistance level.

D > Price created a W formation and with dragonfly candle price dropped to test the neck and complete formation. Price should now continue with its upward move. Daily chart suggests us three bullish targets, next two supply zones and finally the resistance zone.

As per COT GBP saw closure of Long and addition of major short positions bringing net position to -ve, whereas N-R saw closure of both Long and Short, Commercials saw addition of Long and closure of Short. BXY was weak for the said week but it improved its position last week. NZD saw addition of few Long and more Short reducing net positions, confirming weakness of NZD for the said week. ZXY improved its position last week.

4H > Though price has not broken last HH but it has definitely started moving up after testing the neck of W formation and this gives us start of bullish trend.

Pair Correlation: GBPNZD has positive correlation with GBPAUD, GBPJPY, GBPCAD and GBPCHF and negative correlation with EURGBP, NZDCHF and NZDCAD.

This was my Idea and I hope you find it useful. If you find the analysis of help please leave a LIKE and FOLLOW for receiving all updates during the week. In the comment section you can share your view and ask questions.

Thank You
AP17FX
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