GBPNZD | Perspective for the new week

The GBPNZD pair seems to be on the edge of a cliff and it appears to be on the verge of tumbling down into 50 to 78.6% retracement in anticipation of a bullish trend continuation. How do we take advantage of this counter-trend opportunity without getting our fingers burnt?

Tendency: Downtrend (Bearish)
Structure: Supply & Demand | Trendline | Reversal pattern (Double Top)
Observation: i. Since November 2021, the Pound recorded approximately 9% growth against the Kiwi to set the tone for bullish momentum.
ii. The visual representation of a line drawn under pivot lows reveals the prevailing direction and speed of price action in the last 3 months.
iii. However, multiple rejections of N$2.05 since January 28th signals the possibility of price action transposing into a correction phase that might dip into 50 to 78.6% retracement before the rally continues.
iv. The multiple rejections at N$2.05 evolves into a double top look-alike which is an extremely bearish technical reversal pattern that forms after action tests a new high two consecutive times with a moderate decline between the two highs with confirmation of structure at a break below a support level at N$2.025.
iv. Coupled with the reversal pattern, we also witnessed a breakdown of the bullish trendline during last week trading session to give credibility to my bearish bias.
v. In this regard, below the key level at N2.025 remains a comfortable area to take on a short position as I strongly anticipate a breakdown/retest of this level in the coming week(s)... Trade consciously!😊
Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 500 pips.
Risk/Reward: 1:4
Potential Duration: 7 to 20 days

NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe.

Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.


Risk Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
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