GBP/USD: The Pound Rebounds Back Above 1.33000

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During the last trading session, the GBP/USD pair posted a gain of more than 0.5% in favor of the pound, as U.S. dollar weakness continues, even after some positive remarks regarding the U.S.–China trade war. For now, it seems that investors are viewing European currencies as a potential safe haven amid the current wave of economic uncertainty across markets. This shift in sentiment has helped to sustain consistent bullish pressure on the pound in the short term.

Broad Ascending Channel

Since mid-January, the pair has been forming a strong ascending channel, with price now trading above the 200-period simple moving average, reinforcing long-term bullish momentum. So far, no bearish correction has been strong enough to break the channel, which remains the most relevant technical formation to monitor for upcoming GBP/USD moves.

RSI

Despite strong bullish momentum, a notable divergence has begun to form on the RSI, as the pair continues to post higher highs in price, while the RSI shows flat peaks in the short term. In addition, the RSI line is hovering near the 70 level, which marks the overbought zone. Both signals suggest a potential imbalance in market forces, possibly opening the door to short-term bearish corrections.

Key Levels:
  • 1.33763 – Key Resistance: This level represents the most recent highs reached by GBP/USD. A sustained move above this area could confirm strong bullish momentum and lead to an acceleration within the current channel.

  • 1.30448 – Near Support: This area corresponds to a consolidation zone seen over the past few months. It may serve as a tentative barrier where short-term pullbacks could occur.

  • 1.28248 – Major Support: This is a critical level, aligned with the 200-period simple moving average. A decisive move below this support could invalidate the current bullish formation and potentially trigger a long-term bearish shift.


Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst

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