The Day Ahead

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Macroeconomic Data Releases (Market-Moving Potential):
US Data

ISM Manufacturing Index (April): A key indicator of manufacturing health; impacts USD, equities, and bond yields.

Total Vehicle Sales: Reflects consumer demand and manufacturing strength.

Construction Spending (March): Signals strength in real estate and infrastructure sectors.

Initial Jobless Claims: Weekly indicator of labor market health; influences Fed policy expectations.

UK Data

Net Consumer Credit & M4 (March): Provides insight into consumer borrowing and money supply growth; can affect GBP and BoE policy outlook.

Japan

Consumer Confidence Index (April): Influences sentiment on domestic consumption; impacts JPY and Nikkei index.

Canada

Manufacturing PMI (April): Indicator of economic activity; affects CAD and TSX.

Central Bank Activity:
Bank of Japan (BoJ) Policy Decision:

Key focus on any adjustments to yield curve control or forward guidance. High impact on JPY, Japanese equities, and global bond markets.

Corporate Earnings (High-impact, broad sector exposure):
Mega-cap Tech & Consumer:

Apple, Amazon, Airbnb, Roku, Wayfair, Reddit: Major influence on Nasdaq and sentiment in growth/tech stocks.

Financials & Payments:

Mastercard, Block, Blue Owl Capital, KKR: Insight into consumer spending and credit trends.

Healthcare:

Eli Lilly, CVS Health, Moderna, Stryker, Amgen: Updates on drug pipelines and healthcare services; influences biotech sentiment.

Industrials & Energy:

McDonald's, Linde, Harley-Davidson, Dominion Energy, United States Steel, Targa Resources, Howmet Aerospace: Read-throughs for global demand, input costs, and supply chains.

Other Key Sectors:

Estee Lauder (Luxury/Consumer), Duolingo & Twilio (Tech/EdTech), Live Nation (Services), Maplebear (Instacart), Cameco (Uranium/Nuclear): Diverse sector insights.

Other Notable Events:
UK Local Elections:

Though local, outcomes may indicate broader political sentiment, especially ahead of a potential general election. Moves in GBP, UK equities, and gilts possible if results hint at political instability or changes in economic policy outlook.

Trading Implications:
Equities: Expect high volatility due to major earnings releases and macro data. Sectors like tech, healthcare, and consumer discretionary could see significant moves.

FX: USD, JPY, and GBP in focus due to data and central bank developments.

Bonds: ISM, jobless claims, and BoJ decision may affect global yield curves.

Commodities: Vehicle sales and construction data may influence oil/metals demand expectations.

This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.

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