After an initial tumble to just shy of 1.3450 in response to this morning’s disappointing UK jobs and wages print, the pound staged a spirited recovery, climbing back to a high of 1.3536. However, that rebound appears to be fading, with sterling once again drifting lower as the US dollar finds its footing across the board.
The underwhelming labour market data has bolstered expectations for a Bank of England rate cut in August, with a second move potentially on the cards in November, should incoming data allow. With rate cut probabilities on the rise, the pound’s four-month rally could be running out of steam.
June remains in positive territory for GBP/USD, which raises the prospect of a fifth consecutive monthly gain. But that run may be living on borrowed time. Any further deterioration in UK data—or even a modest pick-up in risk appetite favouring the dollar—could well tip the scales back in favour of the greenback.
From a technical standpoint, cable is beginning to look somewhat top-heavy. The key support zone between 1.3430 and 1.3450 has held up thus far, but a clean break below this region would mark a bearish shift in sentiment. Should that occur, a retreat towards the low 1.30s could swiftly come back into play.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
The underwhelming labour market data has bolstered expectations for a Bank of England rate cut in August, with a second move potentially on the cards in November, should incoming data allow. With rate cut probabilities on the rise, the pound’s four-month rally could be running out of steam.
June remains in positive territory for GBP/USD, which raises the prospect of a fifth consecutive monthly gain. But that run may be living on borrowed time. Any further deterioration in UK data—or even a modest pick-up in risk appetite favouring the dollar—could well tip the scales back in favour of the greenback.
From a technical standpoint, cable is beginning to look somewhat top-heavy. The key support zone between 1.3430 and 1.3450 has held up thus far, but a clean break below this region would mark a bearish shift in sentiment. Should that occur, a retreat towards the low 1.30s could swiftly come back into play.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.