GBP/USD Bullish Reversal – April Seasonality + CHoCH + Macro Set
I'm going long on GBP/USD based on a confluence of:
Bullish market structure shift (CHoCH) – Higher High & Higher Low confirmed on the daily chart
Strong April seasonality – GBP tends to rally mid-to-late April, while USD shows weakness
Macro divergence – BOE is hawkish, Fed is dovish; USD flagged as “Strong Sell”
📊 Supporting Fundamentals
GBP GDP improving (1.6%), USD slowing (2.2%)
LEI + Exo model shows stable bullish-neutral momentum
Bullish market structure shift (CHoCH) – Higher High & Higher Low confirmed on the daily chart
Strong April seasonality – GBP tends to rally mid-to-late April, while USD shows weakness
Macro divergence – BOE is hawkish, Fed is dovish; USD flagged as “Strong Sell”
📊 Supporting Fundamentals
GBP GDP improving (1.6%), USD slowing (2.2%)
LEI + Exo model shows stable bullish-neutral momentum
Trade closed: target reached
Closed at TP as price followed through on the bullish thesis. Trade was based on a confluence of factors: daily CHoCH with confirmed HH/HL structure, favorable April seasonality for GBP, and macro divergence (hawkish BOE vs. dovish Fed). Fundamentals supported the move with improving UK GDP and weakening USD data. LEI + Exo model maintained a bullish-neutral stance throughout the trade
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.