GBPUSD: Expecting a drop from here
Updated
Even though sterling has found recent resilience, we are in a long-term down trend.
I believe the recent rally must end, fundamentally the pound is much weaker than the dollar, the UK is in recession and the US looks likely to avoid one.
The FED will start cutting rates, but I believe the BoE will act sooner (or at the same time) because it doesn't have the grace of a strong economy.
On the LTF's we're at the top of this current dynamic rising range, but I think we may see a break of the lower boundary, and if we do this will be the resumption of the downtrend.
I believe the recent rally must end, fundamentally the pound is much weaker than the dollar, the UK is in recession and the US looks likely to avoid one.
The FED will start cutting rates, but I believe the BoE will act sooner (or at the same time) because it doesn't have the grace of a strong economy.
On the LTF's we're at the top of this current dynamic rising range, but I think we may see a break of the lower boundary, and if we do this will be the resumption of the downtrend.
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