Gold commenced 2024 on a strong footing, exhibiting significant upward momentum during the first quarter. The accumulation phase initiated by institutional buyers stretched from January to mid-February, beginning at the S3 support level of $2,075 per troy ounce. The upward movement propelled gold prices to the R5 resistance level of $2,503 per ounce by the second week of April, marking the onset of the second quarter. This peak prompted profit-taking, stabilizing the price within a range between $2,365 and $2,503 per ounce.
Throughout this period, it appears that institutional buyers were actively building positions, likely in anticipation of driving prices higher. This strategic positioning is evident from the price consolidation between the R3 and R4 resistance levels for nearly five weeks during the third quarter. The persistence of prices within this range underlines a robust buying interest.
A critical breakout occurred when prices surpassed the R4 level at $2,503, which had previously acted as a formidable resistance point for several months. This breakout is a strong indication of continued dominance by institutional buyers in the gold market. Currently, with prices holding above the R4 level, the market is poised to target the R5 level at $2,605 for the third quarter, with potential for further ascension in Q4 of 2024.
Given these dynamics, traders are advised to capitalize on any pullbacks towards the R4 level, as these dips present favorable buying opportunities within a bullish gold market framework.