Short
$GOLD Nears Critical Support @ 74.50 | #Gold $XAU
Friends,
Predictive/forecasting model is bearish on
GOLD, having defined significant R/S levels as follows:
1 - Strongest resistance within the 80.94/81.63 range
2 - Moderate support with reversal potential at 74.50
3 - Strong support with break-thru risk at 74.04
Also, model defines the following conditional targets, provided breach of 74.04:
1 - TG-1 = 69.31 - 16 MAY 14: Moderate probability of reversal if reached. Consider reversal to 74.04/74.50 range
and
2 - TG- = 64.64 - 16 MAY14: Moderate probability of reversal
A lower target also exists at this point, pending development of conditions defined above.
Just as the current (bearish)
COPPER price may relate to the financial chart of 
SCCO company, the current price of the metal may impact this GOLD company.
The relevant part to Forex would play out through correlations, such that we might see a decline in the price of gold, silver and copper bearing down on commodity-tethered pairs, such as
AUD, $NZD, 
CAD, and indirectly on $EURUSD. Inversely, these changes may buoy USDollar index and its Forex pairs.
OVERALL:
Directional bias is both bearish on basis of predictive/forecasting model and this trader's technical interpretation.
Cheers,
David Alcindor
Predictive/forecasting model is bearish on
GOLD, having defined significant R/S levels as follows:1 - Strongest resistance within the 80.94/81.63 range
2 - Moderate support with reversal potential at 74.50
3 - Strong support with break-thru risk at 74.04
Also, model defines the following conditional targets, provided breach of 74.04:
1 - TG-1 = 69.31 - 16 MAY 14: Moderate probability of reversal if reached. Consider reversal to 74.04/74.50 range
and
2 - TG- = 64.64 - 16 MAY14: Moderate probability of reversal
A lower target also exists at this point, pending development of conditions defined above.
Just as the current (bearish)
COPPER price may relate to the financial chart of SCCO company, the current price of the metal may impact this GOLD company. The relevant part to Forex would play out through correlations, such that we might see a decline in the price of gold, silver and copper bearing down on commodity-tethered pairs, such as
AUD, $NZD, CAD, and indirectly on $EURUSD. Inversely, these changes may buoy USDollar index and its Forex pairs. OVERALL:
Directional bias is both bearish on basis of predictive/forecasting model and this trader's technical interpretation.
Cheers,
David Alcindor
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Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.