Gold (4H) Analysis

264

🗿 Head & Shoulders Pattern

Left shoulder → Head (~3 366 $) → Right shoulder near the downtrend line

A close below 3 283 $ would validate the shoulder break and signal a bearish turn

🔄 Pullback to 3 283 $?

After the H4 close under 3 283 $, expect a quick retest of that level to hunt stops

Perfect short entry if the H&S holds

🎯 OTE Support Trap

Just below lies last week’s Optimal Trade Entry zone (3 260–3 270 $)

Gold often fakes lower here before resuming the rally

⚔️ Scenarios

Bearish : Close < 3 283 $ → retest 3 283 $ → drop to 3 240 $ / 3 200 $

Bull trap : bounce off OTE → trap of retest 3 283 $ → rally back to 3 330–3 350 $

🌍 Macro Note

Geopolitical tensions (Ukraine/Russia) keep Gold bid as a safe haven

No major bearish catalyst yet—watch for a potential trap

👉 Key Level: H4 close under 3 283 $. Use the retest to confirm your bias!

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