Gold (XAU/USD) – 1H Analysis

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📈 Recap & Context

Yesterday, gold posted a strong bullish reaction from the Daily Bull OTE zone (~$3,080–$3,130), aligning with a long-term potential continuation setup.
However, in the early hours of today, we’ve seen a retracement right into the Bull OTE of yesterday’s impulsive move, giving us a potential higher low formation.

🔍 Current Key Zones

🟦 Bull OTE (1H) : Acted as support this morning after the rebound.

⬜️ Supply Zone @ $3,240–$3,260: Remains the main resistance area to break.

⬜️ FVG 4H + 1H: Acted as mid-retracement support and demand zone.

🧠 What to Monitor
✅ Bullish Scenario :

A clean re-entry above $3,225, ideally backed by volume, would strongly suggest the bullish continuation is in play, with targets back toward $3,300+.

⚠️ Bearish Scenario:

A strong rejection from the $3,225 supply could signal that yesterday’s bounce was just a reactionary move in a broader downtrend.

In that case, we might revisit deeper retracement zones from the yearly leg up — possibly around $3,080 or even $3,000–$2,960 again.

📌 Conclusion

Gold is at a mid-range inflection point.

Either it confirms strength by reclaiming the $3,240 zone with conviction,
or we risk seeing a deeper corrective wave before any trend resumption.

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