Gold
Updated

XAUUSD H4 Outlook + Key Levels – April 21, 2025

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✅ XAUUSD H4 Outlook + Key Levels – April 21, 2025
🧭 Market Context & Trend After a powerful continuation post-holiday, Gold smashed through the previous ATH and is now trading in a vertical, parabolic leg — with minimal structure below and zero resistance above.

💣 Middle East tension + macro safe-haven flows = strong fuel for this spike. But we’re now in a price zone where traps and liquidation are very likely.

📈 Trend:
• H4: Strong bullish BOSs since April 10
• No valid H4 CHoCH yet — structure remains bullish
• Price is deep inside unmitigated premium, with signs of slowing momentum intraday

🔼 Key Levels ABOVE Price

Type Zone Notes
🔻 Premium Sweep Zone 3395–3405 Key area around ATH for possible fakeout/sell trap setups — watch for M5/M15 CHoCH or BOS here
🧱 Ultimate Spike Zone 3415–3425 High-impact inefficiency from lower timeframes + round number zone – ideal for stop hunts
🚨 Extreme Spike Risk 3435–3455 No structure here — only if geopolitical tensions worsen
🔽 Key Levels BELOW Price

Type Zone Notes
🔵 Intraday Buy Zone 3333–3340 Minor FVG + OB zone – valid only for scalps or continuation if PA confirms
🟩 HTF Demand 3284–3288 Strong OB + FVG + clean H4 CHoCH base – valid for swing longs if dump occurs
⚓️ Institutional Support 3220–3235 Last clean unmitigated H4 demand + equilibrium from macro breakout zone
🧠 Trading Considerations
🔻 SELL setups only valid with clear bearish confirmation (M5/M15 CHoCH + momentum shift) inside the 3395–3405 zone. No blind shorts — the trend is still active.

🟢 BUY setups are cleaner from 3284+ or deeper — chasing now is extremely risky unless price builds structure above 3400.

📉 A fast spike followed by breakdown could signal a swing reversal from this premium zone.

🎯 H4 Bias:
Cautiously Bullish — structure is clean, but price is hyperextended. Best setups will come after liquidity is taken.
Trade active
📍 KEY TURN LEVELS (H1–H4 Confluence)

Type Zone Status Notes
💥 Major Premium Reversal 3448 – 3455 ⚠️ Unreached yet Fibo extension exhaustion zone + possible blow-off trap
🔻 Confirmed Sell Trap 3415 – 3419 ✅ Active Liquidity sweep + premium OB + weak high above
🔼 Reclaim Trigger 3372 – 3380 🔄 Pivot (buy/sell flip) EMA5 lock level — reclaim confirms buyers
🟢 Major HTF Buy Zone 3333 – 3340 ✅ Clean + unmitigated Valid OB + FVG + bounce zone
⚓️ HTF Reentry Demand 3284 – 3288 ✅ Previous sniper entry Strong HTF OB + structure support
🧱 Swing Support Turn 3220 – 3235 💤 Below current structure Long-term reentry — only in case of major crash
Trade closed: target reached
📈 XAUUSD Sniper Buy Recap – 3372 to 3410 (🎯 +480 pips)
🔥 Precision. Patience. Pips.

We marked the 3372–3380 zone as a key reclaim trigger, with H1–H4 confluence:
🔄 EMA5 lock level
🔼 Pivot Flip (Buy/Sell Reversal)
📊 Discount Fibo + internal CHoCH

Price tapped 3372 to the pip, respected the structure, and launched directly into 3410 — a smooth +480 pips.

This wasn’t just any entry — it was a sniper. Structure-backed, liquidity-primed, and delivered without hesitation.

✅ Liquidity was swept clean below
✅ 100% OB wick precision
✅ RSI confirmed bullish divergence
✅ HTF EMAs supported the reaction

⏭️ What’s next?
We're now watching:

🔻 3415–3419 sell trap zone (still active)

🔼 3372–3380 = still key for reclaim/bullish continuation

🟢 3340–3333 remains untouched HTF demand

⚓️ 3284–3288 = our prior legendary entry zone

💬 Did you catch the sniper?
If not — don’t chase. Wait for structure, let price show its hand again.

💡 Follow, comment your bias, and let’s ride gold smart — not emotional.

#XAUUSD #Gold #SmartMoney #FVG #SniperEntry #TradingRecap #ForexCommunity

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