CFDs on Gold (US$ / OZ)
Short
Updated

Gold hits 3500 retracement adjustment

142
Gold Technical Forecast:

From a technical perspective, gold is confidently moving along a bullish trajectory. There is no doubt about that. But the signals now sent by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and other momentum indicators are worth paying attention to. The daily RSI reading is close to 80, which has entered the severely overbought area. However, this does not necessarily indicate impending doom. It just confirms what we already know: buyers are in control.

So, is the price close to a top? Possibly. But I would not sound the alarm bells just yet. These high indicators are more of a warning than a battle cry. It is more of a "stay alert" than a "get out of here".

Spot Gold Technical Levels to Watch

Gold's climb to a record $3,500 was impressive, but as expected, it has begun to retreat slightly from this psychological high, most likely due to some conventional profit-taking. There is no natural resistance above this level; all we have are round numbers. However, on the way down, the situation is different.

Technical Analysis

Initial support includes Monday's high of $3,430 and the round number mark of $3,400 on the daily chart. Looking further down, $3,357 is last week's breakout level, followed by reliable support at $3,300. If a more meaningful pullback occurs, $3,245 and $3,167 will be worth watching, both of which were previous resistance ranges and are now likely to become support levels.
Trade active
snapshot


On the weekly chart, the $3,245 and $3,357 levels remain critical. Below that, $3,000 is the next psychological barrier, while $2,956 is the previous swing low. A deeper decline could test $2,790, but that is speculation at this point. Even so, such a decline would not necessarily mean a trend reversal. More likely, it would attract speculative buyers looking for another entry.
Trade closed: target reached
Reference data for the day:

U.S. EIA crude oil inventory for the week ending April 18 (10,000 barrels)

51.5
U.S. EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventory for the week ending April 18 (10,000 barrels)

-65.4

U.S. EIA strategic petroleum reserve inventory for the week ending April 18 (10,000 barrels)
Note
Team analysis perfectly predicts that gold will continue to fall back and short-term short positions will continue to gain

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