Gold (XAU/USD) – Daily Analysis

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🌐 Geopolitical Context

After a long standoff, the United States and China have finally reached a preliminary agreement on tariff reductions, easing one of the largest trade tensions in recent years. This move is likely to reduce market uncertainty, making risk-on assets more attractive than traditional safe havens like gold.

🗺 Market Structure Overview

On the daily chart, we clearly see a double top formation starting to take shape, likely triggered by today’s market reaction to the US-China trade news.

🔻 This structure typically indicates a potential market reversal or at least a strong retracement,
as sellers step in at a previously defined resistance.

📉 Key Technical Levels

Double Top Resistance – Currently forming around the $3,500 level, a clear psychological barrier for buyers.

Supply Zones – Multiple layers of overhead supply are visible, likely to cap any further upside.

BULL OTE – Potential deep retracement zone if the market pulls back aggressively, located around $3,000 - $3,100.

50% Retracement – Sitting near $3,200, this level could act as an intermediate support if selling pressure increases.

📊 Short-Term Outlook

For now, gold seems poised for a potential pullback, especially if the double top confirms with a clear rejection. However, the broader trend remains bullish unless the price breaks below the supply zones and the BULL OTE.

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