Hang Seng Tries to Hold Key Support Amidst Mixed Chinese Data
The relief rally of the past four-months fades as HKG33 concluded a four-week losing streak, leading to a challenge of pivotal support levels. The Hong Kong index tests the 38.2% Fibonacci of this year’s low/high advance, creating risk for a deeper correction towards the 61.8% level.
China’s post pandemic recovery is bumpy, underscored by distressed property sector, subdued factory activity and weak domestic demand, with CPI hovering around zero for the past year. Today’s data showed a deceleration in industrial production to 5.6% y/y and another drop in house prices.
Retail sales grew 3.7% y/y though, offering reasons for optimism. Furthermore, China’s real estate market may be in poor shape, but Beijing has found new growth pillars in electric vehicles, car batteries and solar cells. Adding to hopes for better days ahead, both the IMF and the World Bank recently upgraded their China GDP forecasts.
HKG33 finds reprieve today and tries to hold the pivotal 38.2% Fibonacci and the 200 Days EMA (blue line. Successful effort will give it the opportunity to retake 18,736 and the chance to push for higher highs (19,794), but the latter has a higher degree of difficulty.
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China’s post pandemic recovery is bumpy, underscored by distressed property sector, subdued factory activity and weak domestic demand, with CPI hovering around zero for the past year. Today’s data showed a deceleration in industrial production to 5.6% y/y and another drop in house prices.
Retail sales grew 3.7% y/y though, offering reasons for optimism. Furthermore, China’s real estate market may be in poor shape, but Beijing has found new growth pillars in electric vehicles, car batteries and solar cells. Adding to hopes for better days ahead, both the IMF and the World Bank recently upgraded their China GDP forecasts.
HKG33 finds reprieve today and tries to hold the pivotal 38.2% Fibonacci and the 200 Days EMA (blue line. Successful effort will give it the opportunity to retake 18,736 and the chance to push for higher highs (19,794), but the latter has a higher degree of difficulty.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: fxcm.com/uk/market-commentary/
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: fxcm.com/eu/market-commentary/
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: fxcm.com/au/market-commentary/
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: fxcm.com/markets/market-commentary/
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
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