🔍 HYPE/USDT Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
High Time Frame (Daily): Bullish
Despite recent pullbacks, the overall trend remains bullish on the daily timeframe. However, current price action suggests a potential fakeout or legitimate breakdown, as we test key structural and volume-based supports.
Short-Term Time Frame (4H): Bearish
The 4-hour chart displays clear bearish pressure, confirmed by the Three Black Crows candlestick pattern. This signals sustained selling interest and supports the current downward move.
🧱 Key Zones
Supply Zone: $41.7 – $45.9
Strong resistance marked by prior selling pressure and overlapping FVGs.
Demand Zone: $24.4 – $26.3
Historical area of buying support, aligned with a low-volume node and an unfilled FVG.
📏 Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
Above Price:
Four 4H FVGs act as upside inefficiencies, offering targets in a bullish recovery:
~$34.9
~$36.6
~$37.8
~$40.0 (psychological level & POC cluster)
Below Price:
One major 4H FVG remains unfilled, directly above the demand zone.
📐 Fibonacci Analysis
Price is testing the Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65) from the recent swing low to high.
A clean break below this area (with confirmation) targets the unfilled FVG around $30, and potentially the demand zone ($24.4–$26.3).
📉 Volume Profile Insight
Volume is clustered around $34–$37, indicating strong past market participation.
Very low volume between $29–$30, creating a volume void — if price loses support at the FVG and golden pocket, it could rapidly drop into the demand zone.
🔻 OBV Analysis (Volume Momentum)
OBV has broken below a larger rising wedge, confirming bearish divergence.
A falling wedge is now forming within OBV.
Break below this wedge: Confirms further price breakdown.
Reclaim of the larger wedge trendline: Suggests potential bullish reversal.
✅ Trade Scenarios
🔺 Bullish Scenario
Trigger: Bullish reversal pattern at the golden pocket (e.g., double bottom, falling wedge, inverse H&S) + OBV recovery.
Entry: Upon confirmation around $32.5.
Targets:
$34.9 (FVG)
$36.6 (FVG)
$37.8 (FVG)
$40.0 (psychological)
Stop: Below $30 or recent swing low (tight below FVG).
🔻 Bearish Scenario
Trigger: Confirmed breakdown of golden pocket & 4H FVG with OBV falling wedge breakdown.
Entry: Below $32.5 with confirmation (e.g., retest or strong momentum candle).
Targets:
$30.0 (psychological level)
$28.5 (FVG zone)
$26.3 → $24.4 (Demand zone)
Stop: Above golden pocket resistance (~$33.8–$34.2).
📝 Conclusion: The market is at a pivotal point. A confirmed break below $32.5 could accelerate selling due to the volume gap, while a strong bullish reaction from the golden pocket could drive a recovery toward $40. Always wait for confirmation before entering either scenario.
High Time Frame (Daily): Bullish
Despite recent pullbacks, the overall trend remains bullish on the daily timeframe. However, current price action suggests a potential fakeout or legitimate breakdown, as we test key structural and volume-based supports.
Short-Term Time Frame (4H): Bearish
The 4-hour chart displays clear bearish pressure, confirmed by the Three Black Crows candlestick pattern. This signals sustained selling interest and supports the current downward move.
🧱 Key Zones
Supply Zone: $41.7 – $45.9
Strong resistance marked by prior selling pressure and overlapping FVGs.
Demand Zone: $24.4 – $26.3
Historical area of buying support, aligned with a low-volume node and an unfilled FVG.
📏 Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
Above Price:
Four 4H FVGs act as upside inefficiencies, offering targets in a bullish recovery:
~$34.9
~$36.6
~$37.8
~$40.0 (psychological level & POC cluster)
Below Price:
One major 4H FVG remains unfilled, directly above the demand zone.
📐 Fibonacci Analysis
Price is testing the Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65) from the recent swing low to high.
A clean break below this area (with confirmation) targets the unfilled FVG around $30, and potentially the demand zone ($24.4–$26.3).
📉 Volume Profile Insight
Volume is clustered around $34–$37, indicating strong past market participation.
Very low volume between $29–$30, creating a volume void — if price loses support at the FVG and golden pocket, it could rapidly drop into the demand zone.
🔻 OBV Analysis (Volume Momentum)
OBV has broken below a larger rising wedge, confirming bearish divergence.
A falling wedge is now forming within OBV.
Break below this wedge: Confirms further price breakdown.
Reclaim of the larger wedge trendline: Suggests potential bullish reversal.
✅ Trade Scenarios
🔺 Bullish Scenario
Trigger: Bullish reversal pattern at the golden pocket (e.g., double bottom, falling wedge, inverse H&S) + OBV recovery.
Entry: Upon confirmation around $32.5.
Targets:
$34.9 (FVG)
$36.6 (FVG)
$37.8 (FVG)
$40.0 (psychological)
Stop: Below $30 or recent swing low (tight below FVG).
🔻 Bearish Scenario
Trigger: Confirmed breakdown of golden pocket & 4H FVG with OBV falling wedge breakdown.
Entry: Below $32.5 with confirmation (e.g., retest or strong momentum candle).
Targets:
$30.0 (psychological level)
$28.5 (FVG zone)
$26.3 → $24.4 (Demand zone)
Stop: Above golden pocket resistance (~$33.8–$34.2).
📝 Conclusion: The market is at a pivotal point. A confirmed break below $32.5 could accelerate selling due to the volume gap, while a strong bullish reaction from the golden pocket could drive a recovery toward $40. Always wait for confirmation before entering either scenario.
Note
Just as predicted, price rejected off the golden pocket and failed to break above the support.
This is indicating bearish strength, in which we will get ready to short.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.