Key arguments in support of the idea:
Over the past quarter, Joby Aviation has made meaningful progress toward certification of its electric air taxi. The company has now completed 62% of Stage 4, advancing 12 ppts in just one quarter. Engineers successfully conducted piloted transition flights, and a series of fault-tolerance tests—where batteries, tilt mechanisms, and even half of the engines were deliberately shut off—ended in safe landings, showcasing the robustness of Joby’s safety systems.
Progress on the certification front is complemented by tangible manufacturing achievements. Five fully functional flight prototypes have already been assembled, with each new unit being produced faster, more efficiently, and at lower cost. Scaling efforts are supported by a strong strategic partnership with Toyota, which plans to invest up to $500 million this year to help Joby refine its production processes. The company’s order backlog stands at approximately 1,500 units.
Joby is looking beyond California for operations. A pilot service is scheduled to launch in Dubai in spring 2026, with the first vertiports already under development. Test flights are expected to begin by mid2025. Simultaneously, a MoU has been signed with Virgin Atlantic, paving the way for future service networks in London and Manchester.
Joby’s monetization strategy is highly flexible—ranging from direct aircraft sales and defense contracts to joint ventures and proprietary passenger routes in partnership with Delta, Uber, and Virgin. The company currently holds $813 million in cash and has a disciplined 2025 spending plan of $500–540 million.
While Archer Aviation (ACHR) didn’t surprise with its latest report, its stock still saw impressive gains. We believe Joby could follow suit—especially given the overlap in their operational zones, as Joby’s stock typically reacts to competitor moves with a slight delay. Investors are beginning to price in the upcoming launch of eVTOL commercial operations, which could periodically trigger strong upward momentum in the stock. Technically, the chart also shows signs of an "inverse head and shoulders" formation.
2-month target price for JOBY is $8.50. We recommend setting a stop loss at $6.10.
Over the past quarter, Joby Aviation has made meaningful progress toward certification of its electric air taxi. The company has now completed 62% of Stage 4, advancing 12 ppts in just one quarter. Engineers successfully conducted piloted transition flights, and a series of fault-tolerance tests—where batteries, tilt mechanisms, and even half of the engines were deliberately shut off—ended in safe landings, showcasing the robustness of Joby’s safety systems.
Progress on the certification front is complemented by tangible manufacturing achievements. Five fully functional flight prototypes have already been assembled, with each new unit being produced faster, more efficiently, and at lower cost. Scaling efforts are supported by a strong strategic partnership with Toyota, which plans to invest up to $500 million this year to help Joby refine its production processes. The company’s order backlog stands at approximately 1,500 units.
Joby is looking beyond California for operations. A pilot service is scheduled to launch in Dubai in spring 2026, with the first vertiports already under development. Test flights are expected to begin by mid2025. Simultaneously, a MoU has been signed with Virgin Atlantic, paving the way for future service networks in London and Manchester.
Joby’s monetization strategy is highly flexible—ranging from direct aircraft sales and defense contracts to joint ventures and proprietary passenger routes in partnership with Delta, Uber, and Virgin. The company currently holds $813 million in cash and has a disciplined 2025 spending plan of $500–540 million.
While Archer Aviation (ACHR) didn’t surprise with its latest report, its stock still saw impressive gains. We believe Joby could follow suit—especially given the overlap in their operational zones, as Joby’s stock typically reacts to competitor moves with a slight delay. Investors are beginning to price in the upcoming launch of eVTOL commercial operations, which could periodically trigger strong upward momentum in the stock. Technically, the chart also shows signs of an "inverse head and shoulders" formation.
2-month target price for JOBY is $8.50. We recommend setting a stop loss at $6.10.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.