Exchange: NYSE
Sector: Financials – Major Banks
Setup Type: Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) Breakout
⸻
📈 Trade Thesis:
JPM is breaking out of a tight consolidation near all-time highs following a multi-week VCP setup. Volume expanding on breakout, supported by strong sector rotation into financials amid rising bond yields.
⸻
🔑 Technical Setup:
• Entry: $268.50 - 269.50
• Stop: $260.80 (below breakout base, protects against failed move)
• Target 1: $278.00 (psych level + previous breakout projection)
• Target 2: $290.00+ (trend continuation toward ATH range)
• Risk/Reward: ~1:2.5
⸻
📊 Confluence Factors:
• Price above 21EMA, 50MA, 200MA – trend alignment ✅
• VCP structure with declining volume pre-breakout ✅
• Relative Strength vs. SPX improving ✅
• Sectoral tailwind (banks outperforming vs tech rotation) ✅
• Clean flat base breakout – momentum entry zone ✅
⸻
📌 Trade Management Notes:
• Consider trimming 1/3 near $278, trail rest above $272
• Tighten stop to breakeven once price closes 2 consecutive days above $274
• Earnings scheduled July 15, 2025 – manage exposure ahead of report
DISCLAIMER : The content and materials featured are for your information and education only and are not attended to address your particular personal requirements. The information does not constitute financial advice or recommendation and should not be considered as such. Risk Management is Your Shield! Always prioritise risk management. It’s your best defence against losses.
Sector: Financials – Major Banks
Setup Type: Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) Breakout
⸻
📈 Trade Thesis:
JPM is breaking out of a tight consolidation near all-time highs following a multi-week VCP setup. Volume expanding on breakout, supported by strong sector rotation into financials amid rising bond yields.
⸻
🔑 Technical Setup:
• Entry: $268.50 - 269.50
• Stop: $260.80 (below breakout base, protects against failed move)
• Target 1: $278.00 (psych level + previous breakout projection)
• Target 2: $290.00+ (trend continuation toward ATH range)
• Risk/Reward: ~1:2.5
⸻
📊 Confluence Factors:
• Price above 21EMA, 50MA, 200MA – trend alignment ✅
• VCP structure with declining volume pre-breakout ✅
• Relative Strength vs. SPX improving ✅
• Sectoral tailwind (banks outperforming vs tech rotation) ✅
• Clean flat base breakout – momentum entry zone ✅
⸻
📌 Trade Management Notes:
• Consider trimming 1/3 near $278, trail rest above $272
• Tighten stop to breakeven once price closes 2 consecutive days above $274
• Earnings scheduled July 15, 2025 – manage exposure ahead of report
DISCLAIMER : The content and materials featured are for your information and education only and are not attended to address your particular personal requirements. The information does not constitute financial advice or recommendation and should not be considered as such. Risk Management is Your Shield! Always prioritise risk management. It’s your best defence against losses.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.