JPYUSD | Head & Shoulders Breakdown Setup | Bearish move Build

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🔍 Technical Overview
A clear Head & Shoulders pattern has formed on the JPY/USD 8H chart — a well-known bearish reversal setup often signaling a shift from bullish momentum to bearish control. The pattern is confirmed with a left shoulder, higher head, and lower right shoulder, all aligned along a defined neckline acting as key horizontal support.

Currently, the price is retesting both the neckline and a descending trendline, which adds confluence to the bearish bias. If price fails to break back above this resistance zone, we can anticipate a further drop toward the projected target zone.

📌 Key Technical Levels
Head: ~0.007180

Neckline Support: ~0.006660

Retest Area (Confluence Zone): ~0.006940–0.006960

Bearish Target: ~0.006470 (measured from the head to the neckline and projected downward)

Trendline Resistance: Acting as dynamic resistance since the recent high

⚙️ Price Action Insights
Pattern Clarity: The structure of the H&S is clean and symmetrical — a classic sign of distribution and topping out after a bullish rally.

Retest in Play: Price is currently retesting the trendline resistance. Rejection from this area strengthens bearish continuation potential.

Momentum Shift: Bullish pressure is weakening. Lower highs on the right shoulder show buyer exhaustion.

🧠 Mindset & Strategy
This setup demonstrates how patience, pattern recognition, and confluence can align to offer a high-probability trading idea.

Wait for Confirmation: A strong bearish candle off the retest zone or neckline breakdown gives a cleaner short entry.
✅ Risk Management First: Place stops just above the right shoulder or trendline (~0.007000 zone).
Target Logically: The target is not random — it’s derived using the classic measured move technique, matching the head-to-neckline distance.

📋 Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice)
📍 Entry: On rejection at retest zone or confirmed neckline breakdown

🎯 Target: 0.006470

🛑 Stop Loss: Above 0.007000 (trendline/right shoulder area)

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: Minimum 2:1 if entered post-retest confirmation

🧠 Trader’s Note (Minds Insight)
This is where discipline comes into play. Don’t chase the move. Let the pattern complete and confirm. Head and Shoulders formations are among the most reliable reversal patterns — but only after neckline breaks or strong rejections.

This setup teaches traders to trust the process, combine horizontal and diagonal resistance, and let the price action do the talking.

Disclaimer

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