Kaspa
Updated

Another chance to convert ETH into KASPA at a discount?

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Been monitoring this chart since 25th December 2025 waiting for a second chance to convert even more ETH into KASPA for cheap.

Measured move in confluence with the bottom yellow solid support line as shown.

Likely if KAS falls below the dashed yellow line vs ETH.
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A descending narrowing channel is bullish-biased though, the bearish target may not be reached.
Could set a small buy order as well above the channel where a higher-high would be set, and buy more on retest at the same time.

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also note the bullish divergence on the FG{15/50} histogram.
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Backtest of the FG divergence and hidden-divergence signals on the daily KAS/ETH chart:
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Trade active
Broken out! Bullish. Entered a little more into KAS now from ETH.
Waiting for candle close before continuing adding into KAS.
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FG now turned bullish too (after a bullish divergence):
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Historically, this indicates that a pump is imminent:
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However, need to be cautious as the general market is looking uncertain atm. However, BTC too got a strong bounce off a support line indicating strength is still present:
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Perhaps BTC Dominance (BTC.D) is trying to do a final retest of the yellow line, before falling off for an altcoins pump.
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First target reached, stop loss level updated to below the top of the descending narrowing channel defined by the two thick white arrowed lines, accounting for volatility.

If KAS continues to consolidate within the golden pocket without getting rejected by the 61.8% Fib retrace lvl, it will then have a good chance for a continuation higher. Need to wait for breakout again, and setting limit buy orders accordingly.

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Kaspa looking strong, supported by the 65% level within the golden pocket.
Limit buy orders triggered upon breakout. Expecting some resistance at the thick yellow trend line, but overall looking bullish. See also the updated expected trajectory above.

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Now at long-term resistance line.
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Setting final buy orders to catch the breakout.
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Perhaps there is still a chance to convert the rest of my ETH into KAS at the bottom yellow line (see AB=CD measured move target, orange arrowed line circled), especially if Kas breaks below the golden pocket (i.e. below the 65% retrace level).

Note the redrawn fib levels.

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