Analyzing a coin with a short price history is a challenge. In TA we analyze an asset based on past performance and try to project what this past performance may mean for future performance. A coin without a significant past PA is tricky. However, because of it’s incredible PA recently and because of this asset’s fundamentals I will follow it closely and share setups as I see them.
Support:
• Currently KAS found support at the 0.011991 USD level. It was also oversold on the RSI daily and reacted nicely to it. It is still too early to say if the current downtrend is over.
• If the 0.1191 level doesn’t hold it may find support at the 0.009161 level. Note that price usually tends to go back to unfilled wicks, so it is not out of the question.
Resistance:
• 0.022522 USD. Previous HL.
• 0.033101 USD. Previous LH.
• 0.043301 USD. ATH
Accumulation Range:
IMO, any price between current price and 2 cents is good for long-term accumulation.
Price Prediction:
Kaspa is a young asset. The Kaspa blockchain (DAG) still has a lot of development to make. KAS’s Price history also makes it difficult to extrapolate future price. However, we know that this kind of asset can make an astonishing PA if the stars align.
If we take a fib extension from previous low to high, we can see that KAS’s ATH was between the 1 – 1.272 fib extension. Assuming that the next ATH will be between these fib extensions, our price target is roughly between 12-22 cents. Astonishing as it may appear to be, in crypto everything is possible.
If we copy the fractal of Kadena’s meteoric rise during the previous bull market and apply it to Kaspa, we get a price target much higher, but we need to take it with a grain of salt. We are not in a bull market, yet.
Reservations:
This is a high risk, high reward trade. It can be an extremely profitable trade, but it can also fail miserably.
This is a long-term trade. It may take months or even a year before my price target is achieved.
NFA.
Feedback will be appreciated.
Best wishes to all.