Bearish divergence is typically recognized through the following characteristics:
Price Highs vs Indicator Highs: In an uptrend, the price of an asset tends to make higher highs, indicating increasing buying pressure. However, if during this time, the indicator (e.g., RSI or MACD) fails to make higher highs and instead forms lower highs, this creates a bearish divergence.
Signaling Potential Reversal: Bearish divergence signals a potential weakening of the ongoing uptrend and can suggest that the buying momentum is fading. It might indicate that the uptrend could be losing steam and that a trend reversal or a corrective move might be on the horizon.
Confirmation Required: It's important to note that bearish divergence alone is not a guaranteed signal of a trend reversal. Traders and analysts usually wait for additional confirming signals before making trading decisions. This could include looking for candlestick patterns, trendline breaks, or other technical patterns that align with the potential reversal.
Here's a simple example:
Imagine you are looking at the price chart of KKAS which has been in an uptrend. The price makes higher highs, reaching new peaks. However, when you look at the RSI indicator, you notice that it's not making higher highs and instead is forming lower highs. This discrepancy between the price movement and the RSI is a bearish divergence and might suggest that the bullish momentum could be waning.
Keep in mind that while bearish divergence can be a useful tool in technical analysis, it's not foolproof, and false signals can occur. It's important to use it in conjunction with other technical indicators, fundamental analysis, and risk management techniques to make informed trading decisions.
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