After a strong initial rise following our entry, LINK has started to decline again, raising the possibility that Wave 2 might not be complete and could fall further. It is crucial that the price does not fall below the 61.8% retracement level around $11, which coincides with a small high-volume node. This level should ideally act as support. Falling below $11 could lead to a rapid decline towards the $7-$8 range.
The RSI remains stable, suggesting that the current decline might be part of a normal corrective phase rather than a larger trend reversal. Therefore, we will keep our stop loss relatively wide to accommodate potential volatility, as we do not expect a fall below the $11 mark. If the price holds above this level, the bullish outlook remains intact.
We remain cautiously optimistic about Chainlink as long as it stays above the $11 support level. Falling below this could signal a deeper correction towards $7-$8, which would be a significant bearish turn. For now, we maintain our position with a broad stop loss to manage potential volatility and are looking for another DCA bid.
Yearly VWAP Analysis
When examining the yearly VWAP chart for Chainlink, we notice that the 2023 VAH (Volume Area High) and the 2020 VAH have been respected well. The price has dipped into this zone three times, each time holding it effectively. The 2020 VAH and 2022 VAH are critical levels that need to be reclaimed and held to turn bullish. Reclaiming these levels is essential for a sustained upward move. There is also a possibility that the price could retest the 2020 VAH once more.
It is crucial to maintain the support at around $12.18. We have been forming higher lows, indicating a generally ascending trend. This trend should not be violated by falling below the $12.18 support level. Successfully reclaiming the 2020 VAH at around $16 would be a strong bullish signal.
Maintaining the $12.18 support level is crucial for continuing the ascending trend. Reclaiming and holding the 2020 VAH at $16 would confirm a bullish reversal. Maintaining higher lows suggests an overall positive outlook for Chainlink.
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