LTC/USD Approaching the Halvening Event
Updated
Looking at the weekly time frame of Litecoin as we are approaching the halvening event in September of this year, about 200 days away, this chart is looking eerily similar to the 2018 cycle bottom.
We’re going to see a pump upwards to $95-114 prior to the halving event with a pull back around to the area levels that were in now from $80-$84.
I believe we’ve seen the bottom for Litecoin at $41 and from here we’ve regained the long term uptrend extending from before the start of the 2017 bull run cycle.
So $80-$84 is the accumulation before the breakout and pullback to a very similar structure of what we’ve seen in Litecoin 4 years ago. Also, markets don’t bottom down, they bottom up.
Market bottom in the 2018 cycle was almost at the $20 range and the market bottom this cycle was almost touching the $40 level. All in all, this was a 100% increase over the period of 4 years and still a remarkable gain if you managed to get in early.
Obviously historical data doesn’t prove future results, but we can sort of use predictive behavior to figure out how this cycle will play out. We’ll see the Litecoin halving later this year which will spark the next bull cycle, following with consolidation all the way up until early 2025 where it will lead the bull run and breakout with Bitcoin following.
This will be a solid year of consolidation / accumulation, but definitely able to make some decent profits swing trading on the volatility.
If you were to HODL throughout the cycle and up until 2026, i’d expect another 100% flatline increase, otherwise an $80 bottom (floor) at the lowest.
As always please do your own research, I am not a financial advisor.
We’re going to see a pump upwards to $95-114 prior to the halving event with a pull back around to the area levels that were in now from $80-$84.
I believe we’ve seen the bottom for Litecoin at $41 and from here we’ve regained the long term uptrend extending from before the start of the 2017 bull run cycle.
So $80-$84 is the accumulation before the breakout and pullback to a very similar structure of what we’ve seen in Litecoin 4 years ago. Also, markets don’t bottom down, they bottom up.
Market bottom in the 2018 cycle was almost at the $20 range and the market bottom this cycle was almost touching the $40 level. All in all, this was a 100% increase over the period of 4 years and still a remarkable gain if you managed to get in early.
Obviously historical data doesn’t prove future results, but we can sort of use predictive behavior to figure out how this cycle will play out. We’ll see the Litecoin halving later this year which will spark the next bull cycle, following with consolidation all the way up until early 2025 where it will lead the bull run and breakout with Bitcoin following.
This will be a solid year of consolidation / accumulation, but definitely able to make some decent profits swing trading on the volatility.
If you were to HODL throughout the cycle and up until 2026, i’d expect another 100% flatline increase, otherwise an $80 bottom (floor) at the lowest.
As always please do your own research, I am not a financial advisor.
Trade active
Quick update on my LItecoin chart and looking at the 4H time frame, we can see the 3 higher lows that have formed since the market bottom in November on our structure, and this momentum is gearing up for a summer run upwards going into the halving event.
Every cycle, Litecoin leads the wave because of the halving and then is followed by Bitcoin the year after. Currently, we're still ranging in the $90 area, but will subsequently breakout on this next leg up to $100 & above, ultimately reaching our price targets marked out in the first message as well as this chart pictured above.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.