Updated

$MARA - Bull or Bear?

I like the stock and currently hold.

I personally feel one more high to $28-$33 (Could extend past this). Then potentially fall to sub $3.

The new lows present an opportunity for big money to buy miners whilst exceptionally low in value. The current fair value price for is $9.59. Anything below this is deep value in my opinion.

Whilst I know institutions are accumulating at record levels, the exchange traded volume is dropping off.

Based on Elliot Wave, I am optimistic we are currently in a Wave 4 with the Wave 5 low expected to be in the region of $1.80 - $2.20.

Although Miners Revenue is at a near record high, Miners have a tenancy to fall before a BTC halving and then reach new highs following the halving.

ETF approval is expected soon - It may give Institutions time to manipulate BTC and ETH prices before the halving or send the miners on a parabolic course with 'new money' entering the crypto market.

For clarity the blue vertical lines represent the BTC halving points. did not run on it's July 2016 halving as this appears to be a 'new entry' pattern. On the third BTC halving, it ran to new highs within months of the May 2020 BTC halving. This also backs up my theory we will see lower lows, before new highs, ahead of the next BTC halving (exp April 2024).

I hope I am wrong with lows coming given I will not be selling, but a wave 5 move down would form a primary inverse head and shoulders and would be an ideal area to load up on stock and long term options!

God speed!

**This is not financial advice**

Note

Miners Revenue: blockchain.com/explorer/charts/miners-revenue
I compared mine to exchange traded volume.

Mara institutional holdings: fintel.io/so/us/mara (at a record high)

Bradtheinvestor

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Bradtheinvestor

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