Here’s my thought process going into META this week — trying to explain it simply like how I’d talk through a chart in a livestream.
Starting from the Daily timeframe, META just broke above that stubborn trendline that’s been pressing down on price since February. After earnings, price held strong — no gap down, no heavy selloff — and the candles we’ve seen since look more like a coil-up rather than a breakdown. MACD and Stoch RSI are both curling up with strength. This tells me bulls aren’t just in control — they’re charging with momentum on their side.
Now dropping to the 1-hour chart, we can clearly see how META exploded out of the recent chop range. The rally came with heavy volume, and we’re now sitting at the 582 zone — right below the GEX heavy resistance wall near 590–600. That’s the next big fight. But what’s interesting is that dips are getting bought fast — higher lows are forming and even intra-hour candles are trending clean above 9 EMA.
GEX analysis (Options flow sentiment):
From the GEX chart, there’s a clear cluster of positive call pressure above 580, and the highest net positive exposure is around 600 — that’s likely the magnet if we keep trending. On the flip side, the PUT support is far lower around 500, meaning dealers aren’t heavily hedged for downside, which typically allows more breathing room to the upside.
Also worth noting: IVR sits at 46.6 with IVX dropping slightly — suggesting option premiums haven’t fully caught up to this breakout. That’s bullish for long calls, and maybe even a short put spread strategy if we continue holding above 575.
How I’m trading this:
If META confirms above 585 with momentum, I’m eyeing a potential push toward 590 → 600 this week. If we consolidate here and fail to push through, I’ll watch 570–575 as support for a pullback buy.
Option setup idea
* Long Calls targeting 600 (preferably 2–3 weeks out)
* Or Bull Put Spread using 575/570 strikes if it retests support and holds
Final thought: With Trump reportedly meeting with investors this week, big tech sentiment could get a macro jolt. META is already showing technical leadership — if the news cycle gets supportive, this breakout might run faster than expected.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage your own risk and confirm your setups.
Starting from the Daily timeframe, META just broke above that stubborn trendline that’s been pressing down on price since February. After earnings, price held strong — no gap down, no heavy selloff — and the candles we’ve seen since look more like a coil-up rather than a breakdown. MACD and Stoch RSI are both curling up with strength. This tells me bulls aren’t just in control — they’re charging with momentum on their side.
Now dropping to the 1-hour chart, we can clearly see how META exploded out of the recent chop range. The rally came with heavy volume, and we’re now sitting at the 582 zone — right below the GEX heavy resistance wall near 590–600. That’s the next big fight. But what’s interesting is that dips are getting bought fast — higher lows are forming and even intra-hour candles are trending clean above 9 EMA.
GEX analysis (Options flow sentiment):
From the GEX chart, there’s a clear cluster of positive call pressure above 580, and the highest net positive exposure is around 600 — that’s likely the magnet if we keep trending. On the flip side, the PUT support is far lower around 500, meaning dealers aren’t heavily hedged for downside, which typically allows more breathing room to the upside.
Also worth noting: IVR sits at 46.6 with IVX dropping slightly — suggesting option premiums haven’t fully caught up to this breakout. That’s bullish for long calls, and maybe even a short put spread strategy if we continue holding above 575.
How I’m trading this:
If META confirms above 585 with momentum, I’m eyeing a potential push toward 590 → 600 this week. If we consolidate here and fail to push through, I’ll watch 570–575 as support for a pullback buy.
Option setup idea
* Long Calls targeting 600 (preferably 2–3 weeks out)
* Or Bull Put Spread using 575/570 strikes if it retests support and holds
Final thought: With Trump reportedly meeting with investors this week, big tech sentiment could get a macro jolt. META is already showing technical leadership — if the news cycle gets supportive, this breakout might run faster than expected.
Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage your own risk and confirm your setups.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.