NASDAQ Daily Observation Scenarios & Probabilities In Context

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NQ1! MNQ1! NASDAQ NAS100 NDQ100

Well obviously they're 3 possible outcomes but the idea is how we read the context in the upcoming week as the market unfolds each day. But, weighing the outcome based on the current news / fundamentals I would be leading towards 2/3 the the Bullish Long-Term Trend still holds true.

My assumptions would be holding on to the news development of the Iran Israel conflict.
Based on TA heavy we would be still be bullish but a good retracement as the Negotiations of ceasefire with market volatility increase as each time there's a news update with the Conflict & top that with the current Trump Tweets, Tariffs, FED Rate cuts.

Market is weighing the value of this Conflict escalation and deciding the time to price it in. Because market is always forward thinking, IMO.

I personally will be trading these scenarios each-day as the market updates me with NEWS, TA and mainly the Key Levels. As a day futures trader, I will be preparing for volatility. Not as much as the "Liberation Day Sell Off" or the "90 Day Tariff Extension Rally", but futures traders thrive in these kind of market conditions.

It is also sad to hear about the news, or course fundamentally. I am also hoping for the market to make a strong stance absorbing it all with a positive outlook.

Bullish Scenario:
- Market ignores all the war in the Middle East and a rally continuation to make New All Time High.
- News updates on the development of de-escalation war negotiations each day which ends up with a Weekly positive green candle.

Neutral/Consolidation
- News updates brings about both positive & negative impact causing market to range giving the opportunity for accumulation / distribution.

Bearish
- Bad news WAR escalation, Tariffs, Not enough Rate Cuts, Bearish Data.
- Sell side Liquidity wipeout


NOTE:
* 2/3 outcome leaning Bullish because even when a retracement / pullback happens we will rally back up
* since it's a daily observation, i will be looking into the Daily Key Levels of Support/Resistance, Fib Levels, Liquidity Zones, Volume Levels to be tested.
* I wish all good luck and god bless. Thank You.













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