MP Material one of the best SPACs
MP has been, for sure, one of the best SPACs when it comes to performance. SPACs got hammered multiple times. Barely did some of the known ones hold the $10 ground and some of them now are traded in $2-$3 range per share if now lower. I had a very high conviction on MP from its DA announcement and I am holding it from before the merger. Today, I see more strength given the fact that they have a good moat when it comes to rare earth material. After China, they are the biggest one in the world and practically the only one in the US. Electrification is becoming more strategic and there have been rumors that China has threatened American companies on cutting off the supply of the rare earth. This is a very strong position for MP.Their gross margin is not like a mining or material company, but like a tech company. This year they are projected to have an 82.10% gross margin on 446M revenue. The projection of the revenue for 2021 is 319.30M (137.7% growth compared to 2020). In 2022 the revenue growth rate is estimated to be around 40%.
EV/GP (Enterprise Value/Gross Profit) for 2022 is 15.1 and EV/GP/Growth for the same year is 38.1. It shows the price of the stock is fair. Considering the growth, the price could go lower in a short term to offer a nice opportunity to buy or add. As it can be seen on the chart after the short report released on the 3rd Feb, the price recovered relatively and today it experienced nearly 8% hike so far. This shows the interest in
MP is high. If we can get a 20% discount from these levels to around 30s before the 24th Feb (2021 Q4 earning release) I believe it is a good level to start collecting or adding. This is not financial advice. DYODD
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