💡 Trade Idea: Long
MSTR — Technical Breakout with Triple Bottom Reversal
🧠 Thesis
MicroStrategy (
MSTR) has recently formed a triple bottom pattern, a classic bullish reversal setup indicating strong support in the
X range (insert actual range if known). This pattern suggests that sellers have failed to push the price lower on three separate occasions, showing exhaustion and paving the way for bulls to regain control.
Adding conviction to this move,
MSTR has now broken above its 200-day moving average, a widely watched technical level that often signals the shift from bearish to bullish long-term sentiment. This level has historically acted as a key resistance, and the breakout now turns it into potential support.
Together, these two signals—triple bottom support and 200-day MA breakout—provide a strong technical setup for a potential move higher.
📈 Technical Triggers
✅ Triple Bottom pattern confirmed across multi-week timeframe
✅ Close above 200-day MA, first time since [insert date]
🔥 Increased volume on breakout day, confirming buyer interest
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: Current market price (post-breakout confirmation)
Stop Loss: Just below the triple bottom support area (e.g., 3-5% below recent lows)
Target 1: 15–20% move to next major resistance (e.g., psychological level or previous high)
Target 2: Potential breakout to all-time highs if Bitcoin rallies in tandem
⚠️ Risks
MSTR remains highly correlated to Bitcoin; any BTC weakness could invalidate setup
High beta and volatility; sharp drawdowns are possible
False breakouts can occur if BTC fails to hold its gains or if volume dries up
🧮 Optional Strategy
For lower risk exposure or theta-positive exposure, consider a bull call spread or cash-secured puts at support levels
Aggressive traders might explore calls if expecting a near-term BTC rally to lift sentiment
🧠 Thesis
MicroStrategy (
Adding conviction to this move,
Together, these two signals—triple bottom support and 200-day MA breakout—provide a strong technical setup for a potential move higher.
📈 Technical Triggers
✅ Triple Bottom pattern confirmed across multi-week timeframe
✅ Close above 200-day MA, first time since [insert date]
🔥 Increased volume on breakout day, confirming buyer interest
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry: Current market price (post-breakout confirmation)
Stop Loss: Just below the triple bottom support area (e.g., 3-5% below recent lows)
Target 1: 15–20% move to next major resistance (e.g., psychological level or previous high)
Target 2: Potential breakout to all-time highs if Bitcoin rallies in tandem
⚠️ Risks
High beta and volatility; sharp drawdowns are possible
False breakouts can occur if BTC fails to hold its gains or if volume dries up
🧮 Optional Strategy
For lower risk exposure or theta-positive exposure, consider a bull call spread or cash-secured puts at support levels
Aggressive traders might explore calls if expecting a near-term BTC rally to lift sentiment
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.