The anticipated red W-iii top came and went, and the red W-iv has most likely also been completed. Note that these levels align with what we already anticipated in late November, showing the forecasting power one can enjoy using the EW.
Thus, contingent on holding at least above $20800, the orange warning level for the Bulls, and especially above the January 13 low at $20538, we should expect the index to reach the red W-v’s ideal target zone at $22825-23400. The red arrow shows the standard W-v = W-i level at $23025. Meanwhile, we have penciled in a standard Fibonacci-based impulse pattern with the green W-1? through W-5? for this red W-v.
However, since we’re most likely dealing with an Ending Diagonal from the August 2024 low, which comprises a 3-3-3-3-3 pattern, we may see short-term deviations, i.e., an a-b-c advance from the January 13 low. Regardless, and since the short-term is always the most variable and, therefore, the least certain, we keep our eyes on the price: $22825-23400.
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