NatGas - Siberian Express
Updated
"Arctic blast could break 200 records as historic 'Siberian express' brings cold front"
This is what I was waiting for.
We printed a daily key reversal today. I 'm posting this idea today because I think a long entry today or early tomorrow will be profitable in the following 2-3 weeks.
On the 11th of October we printed a DCL . The first daily cycle was 49 days long. Natty after the ICL usually has longer 70-75 days long dcl so this one was an exception.
After a short daily cycle the chance is high we get a longer daily cycle but even if we have a normal cycle it will be 70-75 days long.
The peak here should come between day 30 and 40 (or if this is a long cycle then day 45 is possible) so I'm expecting a daily cycle top between 25th November and 16th December.
Tomorrow we have the NatGas storage data. I think as the weather turned cold the data will be very bullish again and it will push natgas above 2,8 tomorrow or Friday.
If you take a look at the bigger picture :
you can see that the last few days' drop was just the backtest of the 200 SMA and the break of 2,9 easily can push Natgas up to 3,8 by middle of December if the weather turns cold.
The 50 and 200 MA is crossing over , and RSI left the oversold territory.
This is what I was waiting for.
We printed a daily key reversal today. I 'm posting this idea today because I think a long entry today or early tomorrow will be profitable in the following 2-3 weeks.
On the 11th of October we printed a DCL . The first daily cycle was 49 days long. Natty after the ICL usually has longer 70-75 days long dcl so this one was an exception.
After a short daily cycle the chance is high we get a longer daily cycle but even if we have a normal cycle it will be 70-75 days long.
The peak here should come between day 30 and 40 (or if this is a long cycle then day 45 is possible) so I'm expecting a daily cycle top between 25th November and 16th December.
Tomorrow we have the NatGas storage data. I think as the weather turned cold the data will be very bullish again and it will push natgas above 2,8 tomorrow or Friday.
If you take a look at the bigger picture :
you can see that the last few days' drop was just the backtest of the 200 SMA and the break of 2,9 easily can push Natgas up to 3,8 by middle of December if the weather turns cold.
The 50 and 200 MA is crossing over , and RSI left the oversold territory.
Comment
Shorts are covering for the weekend. The mild november end weather is built in the price. The weather surprise can support bulls only.
Comment
The bears are better to be cautious. You never know when you wake up for Natty 2.9$ ...Comment
I’m waiting for EIA to announce a super bullish -100 BCF or lower storage withdrawal today.Comment
AT the the cusp of the breakout.
Notice the difference between the downtrend into the DCL and this last 2 weeks downtrend.
Comment
The warm weather for the next 3 weeks priced in. Any cold weather and natgas will rally.Comment
Comment
Comment
We had a nice Friday today with nearly 4% gains.Day traders are covering ahead of the weekend ; I’m holding my long positions.
Comment
45M volume in UGAZ.Someone bought up everything above the support.
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