NATURAL GAS | Entering HEAVY LONG at the bottom of a manufactured squeeze – here's the full breakdown:
What’s happening in XNG/USD right now is not a normal correction. This is a textbook smart money squeeze disguised as bearish sentiment.
Let’s strip the noise and look at the reality:
THE SETUP:
Natural gas just dropped from ~$5.00 to ~$3.34 in 9 weeks — a ~33% crash —
without a major fundamental driver to justify it.
And yet, everyone is waiting for "3.2" like it’s destiny.
But here’s the truth:
When retail consensus is that obvious, it’s already being used against them.
We’re watching a structured liquidation event, not a freefall.
It’s designed to look weak, feel heavy, and drive weak hands to exit.
But under the surface:
Price is holding the last strong demand zone
Volume is drying up on down candles
Wicks are increasing → liquidity grabs
The market refuses to break with conviction
→ This is controlled. And calculated.
THE SQUEEZE THEORY IN PLAY:
What you’re seeing now is a squeeze bottom engineered by smart money:
Trap liquidity below demand (under 3.35–3.40)
Trigger stop-losses & breakout shorts
Absorb all panic sells from impatient longs and confident bears
Fake breakdown → no follow-through
Hold → then reverse with speed
This is how they load up without pushing price up.
Once complete → launch the narrative, break structure, and squeeze the shorts.
And that’s where we are right now.
THE CATALYSTS ARE BREWING:
This move isn’t technical — it’s preparatory. The narrative is loading in the background:
EU might drop all Russian gas contracts → demand for U.S. LNG explodes
Trump’s tariff games create global energy anxiety → price insurance gets baked in
U.S. LNG exports are at ATH
Storage is still below 5Y average
And ironically, everyone’s ignoring this... waiting for "just one more drop"
This is exactly what smart money wants:
→ Everyone focused down, while the position builds up.
MY TRADE STRUCTURE:
Entered LONG here (3.34–3.36 zone)
Stop-loss below 3.25 (beneath the trap zone)
First target: 3.75 (range top reclaim)
Second target: 4.00–4.18
Holding a runner for 4.50+ if chaos breaks out (EU gas panic, export shock, etc.)
FINAL THOUGHT:
This is a market where manipulation isn't a theory — it's the method.
You don’t get clean signals. You get fear, noise, and misdirection.
But when volume dries, structure holds, and headlines wait in silence…
You’re not in danger — you’re in the final stage before ignition.
I’m not chasing the obvious. I’m front-running the pivot.
Let’s see if the market’s ready to show its real face.
#XNGUSD #NaturalGas #SmartMoney #SqueezeTheory #MacroPsychology #Wyckoff #LongFromTheAshes #TradingView
What’s happening in XNG/USD right now is not a normal correction. This is a textbook smart money squeeze disguised as bearish sentiment.
Let’s strip the noise and look at the reality:
THE SETUP:
Natural gas just dropped from ~$5.00 to ~$3.34 in 9 weeks — a ~33% crash —
without a major fundamental driver to justify it.
And yet, everyone is waiting for "3.2" like it’s destiny.
But here’s the truth:
When retail consensus is that obvious, it’s already being used against them.
We’re watching a structured liquidation event, not a freefall.
It’s designed to look weak, feel heavy, and drive weak hands to exit.
But under the surface:
Price is holding the last strong demand zone
Volume is drying up on down candles
Wicks are increasing → liquidity grabs
The market refuses to break with conviction
→ This is controlled. And calculated.
THE SQUEEZE THEORY IN PLAY:
What you’re seeing now is a squeeze bottom engineered by smart money:
Trap liquidity below demand (under 3.35–3.40)
Trigger stop-losses & breakout shorts
Absorb all panic sells from impatient longs and confident bears
Fake breakdown → no follow-through
Hold → then reverse with speed
This is how they load up without pushing price up.
Once complete → launch the narrative, break structure, and squeeze the shorts.
And that’s where we are right now.
THE CATALYSTS ARE BREWING:
This move isn’t technical — it’s preparatory. The narrative is loading in the background:
EU might drop all Russian gas contracts → demand for U.S. LNG explodes
Trump’s tariff games create global energy anxiety → price insurance gets baked in
U.S. LNG exports are at ATH
Storage is still below 5Y average
And ironically, everyone’s ignoring this... waiting for "just one more drop"
This is exactly what smart money wants:
→ Everyone focused down, while the position builds up.
MY TRADE STRUCTURE:
Entered LONG here (3.34–3.36 zone)
Stop-loss below 3.25 (beneath the trap zone)
First target: 3.75 (range top reclaim)
Second target: 4.00–4.18
Holding a runner for 4.50+ if chaos breaks out (EU gas panic, export shock, etc.)
FINAL THOUGHT:
This is a market where manipulation isn't a theory — it's the method.
You don’t get clean signals. You get fear, noise, and misdirection.
But when volume dries, structure holds, and headlines wait in silence…
You’re not in danger — you’re in the final stage before ignition.
I’m not chasing the obvious. I’m front-running the pivot.
Let’s see if the market’s ready to show its real face.
#XNGUSD #NaturalGas #SmartMoney #SqueezeTheory #MacroPsychology #Wyckoff #LongFromTheAshes #TradingView
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.