Nifty ended the week at 22,904, marking a significant decline of 600 points from the previous week’s close. The index reached a high of 23,565 and a low of 22,857. As anticipated, the dragonfly doji formation from last week, coupled with concerns over Trump’s new tariff measures taking effect from April 2nd, contributed to global market jitters. These factors spooked investors and led to heightened volatility across the board.
My initial forecast for Nifty's trading range this week was 24,000-23,000, but the lower end of that range was breached by 150 points, indicating increased downside pressure. Looking ahead, there is potential for Nifty to find support around the 22,600/22,400 zone, where it may consolidate and form a base to attempt a rebound towards the 24,000 level. However, if the index were to break below the critical support level of 21,964 (which, frankly, seems unlikely), a deeper correction towards 19,700 could unfold. *That said, I believe most of the negative news has already been priced in, and we could see a market recovery within the next 10-15days, depending on how the bulls respond to this pullback.*
In the global markets, the S&P 500 has closed below its 100-week exponential moving average (WEMA) at 5,074, and if it falls below this week’s low of 5,069, we could see a further slide towards 4,750/4,800, representing a 6% drop from current levels. Should Nifty also correct by 6% from its current position, this aligns with a potential support zone around 21,900/22,000, making it an interesting technical level to watch.
It will be crucial to monitor if the wounded bulls can stage a comeback or if the market will continue its downward trajectory. Stay tuned!
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.