Nifty Analysis EOD – May 19, 2025 – Monday

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🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – May 19, 2025 – Monday 🔴

Silence Before the Storm? A “Double Distribution” Kind of Day

📈 Nifty Summary
Another quiet yet deceptive start to the week as Nifty opened flat-to-negative (-14 points) but quickly formed a 92-point wide 5-minute candle at the open. That set the tone for the entire day—a tight, trapped market trading within this early range until post-2 PM.

Things got interesting later, as Nifty breached its IB Low, Previous Day Low (PDL), and closed decisively below key support zones, finally taking support near 24,920 (day’s low: 24,916.65).

The structure fits the classic textbook term—a “Double Distribution Day”, where the index transitions into a new value area in the second half. Option writers erased premiums on both sides, frustrating breakout traders and intraday scalpers alike.

25Min Time Frame Chart:


snapshot

Daily Time Frame Chart:


snapshot

🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown

Candle Type: Bearish with late-session breakdown

Day Type: 📘 Double Distribution Day

Key Breakdown Levels: IB Low, CDL, PDL

Support Held: 24,920 zone

🕵️‍♂️ Observation of the Day
Is this just a pause… or the calm before a storm?

Though there's no strong reversal signal yet, subtle clues emerge:
🔎 On the 25-minute chart, the 13:25 candle was the first to close below the 24,980–25,000 support zone.
📉 Post-PDL breakdown, the retracement attempt was shallow, and price remained under S1 and PDL levels, which hints at weak buying interest.

📊 Bias Going Forward
No reversal yet. Trend watchers should stay patient.

But given price action and weak retracements, the bias tilts toward a deeper retracement, possibly toward the 24,800 zone in the next session. Until strong bullish follow-through is seen, expect continued corrective movement.

5 Min Time Frame Chart:


snapshot

🛡 Gladiator Strategy Update

Strategy Parameters

ATR: 330.48

IB Range: 92.9 → 🟠 Small IB

Market Structure: ⚖️ Balanced

Trade Highlights

⏰ 1st Short Trigger: 14:00

❌ Trade Timed Out → Loss Booked

📊 Total Trades: 1

📍 Support & Resistance Levels

🟩 Resistance Zones:

24,980 ~ 25,000

25,062 ~ 25,070

25,116 ~ 25,128

25,180 ~ 25,212

25,285

25,399

25,485 ~ 25,511

🟥 Support Zones:

24,920

24,882

24,800 ~ 24,768

24,660

24,590

24,530 ~ 24,480

🔮 What’s Next?
No storm yet, but the structure is weakening quietly. Until the bulls reclaim 25,000 decisively, the short-term path of least resistance appears lower.

A move below 24,882 could accelerate downside momentum. All eyes on 24,800 next.

🧠 Final Thoughts
Markets aren’t always noisy when they turn. Watch the subtle signs. For now, retracement bias stays—but don’t front-run reversals.

“Strong trends may pause quietly. It’s the silence that often precedes the sharpest moves.”

✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.

Disclaimer

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