🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – May 29, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
Tricky Expiry Day Rollout… Catch or Caught?
🗞 Nifty Summary:
Nifty opened with a gap-up of 88 points at 24,846, making a quick move to 24,889.70—but the bulls couldn’t hold for long. By 10:30, the key support zone at 24,800–24,768 was breached, dragging the index to an intraday low of 24,677.30.
Just when things seemed to be settling into a narrow expiry-day range, a sharp 65-point spike in 3 minutes surprised both sides—creating a mean-reversion V-shape move right back to VWAP and BC levels.
The real twist? A sudden domino-effect breakout at 15:00, marking a fresh high of 24,892.60 and closing at 24,880.85, nearly at the day’s peak.
⏪ Yesterday’s Note Recap:
"Most probable scenario: range-bound day between 24,660 and 24,882... Tricky expiry day."✔️ Spot on. Nifty respected the projected boundaries almost precisely.
🛡 5 Min Chart with Patterns and Levels
📈 Intraday Walk:
09:15 – Gap-up start, optimism in the air.
10:25 – Support at 24,800–24,768 tested and breached.
10:29 – IB Low Break and Day’s low at 24,677.30, bears step in.
12:38 – Surprise spike of 65 points in 3 min
Midday – Consolidation around VWAP and BC levels.
15:00 – Final push leads to breakout above day high → 24,892.60.
Close – Ends at 24,880.85, just below the day high.
🔍 Chart Observations:
✅ Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern formed around 24,768 on the 5-min chart—target achieved.
📦 Box Consolidation Zone repeated from yesterday and respected.
⚠️ Volatility spikes despite being an expiry day—tricky traps for both sides.
🛡 5 Min Chart with Patterns
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown:
Open: 24,825.10
High: 24,892.60
Low: 24,677.30
Close: 24,833.60
Change: +81.15 (+0.33%)
Candle Structure:
Real Body: +8.50 pts → Tiny green body
Upper Wick: 59.00 pts
Lower Wick: 147.80 pts
Interpretation:A classic Hammer-like candle, showing strong intraday buying from lower zones. Although bulls couldn’t extend gains, they clearly defended 24,700 levels well.
🔔 Pattern Insight:
Outside Bar pattern on Daily → Often a bullish reversal sign
Bullish confirmation comes above 24,890+
Breakdown below 24,677 would invalidate the bullish signal
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update:
ATR: 291.38
IB Range: 110 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Total Trades: 1
🕐 10:25 AM – 1st trade triggered→ Trailing SL hit at 1:3 risk-reward
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels:
Resistance Zones:
24,882
24,894
24,920
24,972 ~ 25,000
25,062 ~ 25,070 (5th rejection!)
25,116 ~ 25,128
25,180 ~ 25,212
25,285 ~ 25,399
Support Zones:
24,820
24,768 ~ 24,800
24,737 ~ 24,727
24,700
24,660
24,640 ~ 24,625
24,590
24,530 ~ 24,480
24,460
🧭 What’s Next?
Above 24,890 → May trigger short-covering rally toward 25,000, 25,065, and 25,116 levels.
Below 24,677 → Expect downside toward 24,625, 24,590, and possibly 24,530.
With expiry behind, volatility may remain elevated tomorrow as new series begins.
📌 Bias: Mild bullish, but needs confirmation above 24,890.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
“Markets don’t trap you; your bias does.”Stay sharp. Today was a day full of whipsaws—but also full of lessons.
✏️ Disclaimer:This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Tricky Expiry Day Rollout… Catch or Caught?
🗞 Nifty Summary:
Nifty opened with a gap-up of 88 points at 24,846, making a quick move to 24,889.70—but the bulls couldn’t hold for long. By 10:30, the key support zone at 24,800–24,768 was breached, dragging the index to an intraday low of 24,677.30.
Just when things seemed to be settling into a narrow expiry-day range, a sharp 65-point spike in 3 minutes surprised both sides—creating a mean-reversion V-shape move right back to VWAP and BC levels.
The real twist? A sudden domino-effect breakout at 15:00, marking a fresh high of 24,892.60 and closing at 24,880.85, nearly at the day’s peak.
⏪ Yesterday’s Note Recap:
"Most probable scenario: range-bound day between 24,660 and 24,882... Tricky expiry day."✔️ Spot on. Nifty respected the projected boundaries almost precisely.
🛡 5 Min Chart with Patterns and Levels
📈 Intraday Walk:
09:15 – Gap-up start, optimism in the air.
10:25 – Support at 24,800–24,768 tested and breached.
10:29 – IB Low Break and Day’s low at 24,677.30, bears step in.
12:38 – Surprise spike of 65 points in 3 min
Midday – Consolidation around VWAP and BC levels.
15:00 – Final push leads to breakout above day high → 24,892.60.
Close – Ends at 24,880.85, just below the day high.
🔍 Chart Observations:
✅ Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern formed around 24,768 on the 5-min chart—target achieved.
📦 Box Consolidation Zone repeated from yesterday and respected.
⚠️ Volatility spikes despite being an expiry day—tricky traps for both sides.
🛡 5 Min Chart with Patterns
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown:
Open: 24,825.10
High: 24,892.60
Low: 24,677.30
Close: 24,833.60
Change: +81.15 (+0.33%)
Candle Structure:
Real Body: +8.50 pts → Tiny green body
Upper Wick: 59.00 pts
Lower Wick: 147.80 pts
Interpretation:A classic Hammer-like candle, showing strong intraday buying from lower zones. Although bulls couldn’t extend gains, they clearly defended 24,700 levels well.
🔔 Pattern Insight:
Outside Bar pattern on Daily → Often a bullish reversal sign
Bullish confirmation comes above 24,890+
Breakdown below 24,677 would invalidate the bullish signal
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update:
ATR: 291.38
IB Range: 110 → Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Total Trades: 1
🕐 10:25 AM – 1st trade triggered→ Trailing SL hit at 1:3 risk-reward
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels:
Resistance Zones:
24,882
24,894
24,920
24,972 ~ 25,000
25,062 ~ 25,070 (5th rejection!)
25,116 ~ 25,128
25,180 ~ 25,212
25,285 ~ 25,399
Support Zones:
24,820
24,768 ~ 24,800
24,737 ~ 24,727
24,700
24,660
24,640 ~ 24,625
24,590
24,530 ~ 24,480
24,460
🧭 What’s Next?
Above 24,890 → May trigger short-covering rally toward 25,000, 25,065, and 25,116 levels.
Below 24,677 → Expect downside toward 24,625, 24,590, and possibly 24,530.
With expiry behind, volatility may remain elevated tomorrow as new series begins.
📌 Bias: Mild bullish, but needs confirmation above 24,890.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
“Markets don’t trap you; your bias does.”Stay sharp. Today was a day full of whipsaws—but also full of lessons.
✏️ Disclaimer:This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Blogs : substack.com/@kzatakia
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Blogs : substack.com/@kzatakia
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.