Japan’s Q1 GDP came in worse than expected: -0.2% QoQ (-0.7% annualized). Weak consumption, soft exports, and a fading external boost despite a weak yen isn't a great combo for Asia’s largest export economy.
The Nikkei 225 reacted immediately, and the H4 chart is starting to reflect deeper structural pressure.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
- Price reversed from the high of 38,745.
- Price is testing the 50 SMA and could enter the Ichimoku cloud.
- The cloud is signalling a twist, which could be a sign of momentum fading and the trend weakening or reversing.
📊 Projection:
If the price closes below the 50 SMA and breaks through the cloud, further downside could be expected, with the target levels at
- 36,800 (last consolidation zone), and
- 35,570 (38.2% fibonacci retracement level and 200 SMA).
Alternatively, if the bulls defend the cloud, we could see the price climb to the resistance level of 40,500
This is a classic macro meets technicals moment. A weak data print is lining up against the possibility of a technical rollover.
The Nikkei 225 reacted immediately, and the H4 chart is starting to reflect deeper structural pressure.
🔍 Technical Outlook:
- Price reversed from the high of 38,745.
- Price is testing the 50 SMA and could enter the Ichimoku cloud.
- The cloud is signalling a twist, which could be a sign of momentum fading and the trend weakening or reversing.
📊 Projection:
If the price closes below the 50 SMA and breaks through the cloud, further downside could be expected, with the target levels at
- 36,800 (last consolidation zone), and
- 35,570 (38.2% fibonacci retracement level and 200 SMA).
Alternatively, if the bulls defend the cloud, we could see the price climb to the resistance level of 40,500
This is a classic macro meets technicals moment. A weak data print is lining up against the possibility of a technical rollover.
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Join my mailing list jindaotai.com/joinme
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.