I bided my time to share my thoughts.
1. The crowd started reacting to Durov's arrest as if the whole life of the crypto project is equal to the fate of a media person. And the people who shouted the loudest, they don't even realise that they themselves believe in this connection. all is well with Durov, so all is well with NOT. These people are a long way from the philosophy of libertarians, much less anarchists. Contempt for the hysterical. By the way, the most important tech evangelist of Telegram is not Pavel Durov himself. It's his brother Nikolai Durov. World champion student coder. Durov is a visible public face. They're like Oskar Schindler and Itzhak Stern. One creates the presentation, the other creates the ideas.
2. I assumed that the absurdity of the charges (failed to help disclose a protected communication = helped distribute drugs, nonsense) would run into very expensive lawyers that Durov could afford. I'm sure the fact that he's out on bail shows that the charges were met with a decent defence. Complicity sounds ridiculous.
3. Important detail. Many people noticed this in Russia, but I'm not sure it was noticed elsewhere. On the eve of his arrest, Durov flew to Azerbaijan. The Russian press leaked versions that he would meet with Putin there (he was there on a state visit these days). Analysts speculated that since another Telegram blockade had just begun in Russia, Durov was travelling to try to negotiate something with Putin. Soon a report appeared ‘Vladimir Putin did not meet with Pavel Durov in Baku.’ It was only after that that Durov flew to Paris, where he is arrested. What if this is a necessary step by Durov to dismiss the stupid charges through the court, to find a new formula for co-operation with the authorities and to better protect his business? If these arrest warrants are in place, then there must be some way to prove that they are ridiculous. Because he clearly lacked the support he may have been looking for from Putin. So he took the risky step of coming to France. Somehow people thought it was a colossal mistake. Not a calculated business risk. So he needed business in Europe. Durov's already out on bail. Being under court supervision doesn't stop him from doing business. He's not in jail. What if tomorrow we find out that Telegram changed its protocol for co-operating with the police on child pornography? And in court, the prosecution's case would be shattered by the defence? Therefore, the whole thing was worthless.
4. people who are completely confused in their heads are despicable. They write NOTcoin and mean TONcoin. They write TONcoin and mean NOTcoin. And all this only because they heard somewhere that all this is somehow connected with Pavel Durov, and therefore it is the same thing. Such guys not only can't be trusted with the keys to cryptocurrencies, they can't even be trusted with the key to their own flat. Exaggerating concepts and meanings is disgusting. NOTcoin is not TONcoin. Yes, it is an asset integrated into the TON system. But TRON has a lot of things integrated into it as well. However, some coins on TRX are rising, others are falling. No need to generalise. NOTcoin is related to gaming. TONcoin is a more universal currency, more like classic money.
5. VFI LF on the 4 hour timeframe is showing increasing volume flow, and even the slow volume EMA is about to move to the upside from zero. To watch.
6. In Russia there is a saying ‘Fear has big eyes’. This is the very case, as they are now looking at NOT. Forget about Durov. He is not a tsar or a god or a hero. An asset is an asset.
7. As with the rest of the market, we need a falling bitcoin dominance. This is far more important than whether Durov is in jail or not.