Just 24 hours ago, we turned again bearish on the Nasdaq 100 index, which was quickly followed by a selloff of more than 3%. We also set price targets for NQ1! at 11 500 USD and 11 000 USD. We maintain those price targets as we remain bearish on the U.S. economy. That is because we think more rate hikes and economic tightening will drag the stock market to new lows. Additionally, the next wave of selling will likely experience even faster acceleration than the previous one; therefore, we voice caution for investors. We will monitor the volatility for more clues; ideally, we would like to see a bounce up above 30 USD.
Illustration 1.01 Yesterday, we pointed to the retracement (toward the 20-day SMA) shown above. We noted that this retracement acted as a natural correction of a downtrend and the selling pressure was likely to resume soon. Moving averages continue to indicate the downtrend.
Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI is neutral/slightly bearish. Stochastic turned bearish again. MACD is turning bearish too. DM+ and DM- performed bearish crossover. Overall, the daily time frame is bearish.
Illustration 1.02 The picture above shows simple support and resistance levels for NQ1!.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+, and DM- are all bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame stays bearish.
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