NVIDIAUpdated Top 5 Weekly Trade Ideas #1 - NVDA Head and Shoulders
This is looking like an epic setup for NVDA, make or break here. Recently we had a shorter term inverse H&S that failed, but the longer term H&S remains valid for now. We have several things going on here, all of which looks pretty clean.
To summarize:
- Major support at $131.50 that was previous resistance from August.
- Head and Shoulders with the neckline right at said support.
- Ascending wedge starting at the August low, price just barely broke below and closed below.
- Major pattern is still riding momentum off of the big triangle breakout, projected target of ~$170 has not been hit.
- Recent weakness, I'd call it extreme weakness considering what the mag 7 and names like AVGO have done while NVDA continues to fall.
So how do I intend to play it? The great thing about this setup is how clean everything is, should be fairly straightforward to trade. If the neckline/support at $131.50 doesn't hold, it's a short down to a retest of the triangle at minimum. If neither trendline from the triangle holds, next target is at $90. I'd call it good and reassess at that point, but eventually I expect $70 to hit and finally we'll see it move down to about $50 which will probably be near the major bottom.
If $131.50 holds, then the dump will be delayed to a future date, will look for longs instead. If it can bounce and reclaim the trendline from the August low, I'd look for longs on a retest there or any decent dips really. We may end up making a new ATH and hitting that $170 target from the triangle breakout. Should be a big move either way, definitely worth watching as it will have a big impact on the broader market as well.
To summarize:
- Major support at $131.50 that was previous resistance from August.
- Head and Shoulders with the neckline right at said support.
- Ascending wedge starting at the August low, price just barely broke below and closed below.
- Major pattern is still riding momentum off of the big triangle breakout, projected target of ~$170 has not been hit.
- Recent weakness, I'd call it extreme weakness considering what the mag 7 and names like AVGO have done while NVDA continues to fall.
So how do I intend to play it? The great thing about this setup is how clean everything is, should be fairly straightforward to trade. If the neckline/support at $131.50 doesn't hold, it's a short down to a retest of the triangle at minimum. If neither trendline from the triangle holds, next target is at $90. I'd call it good and reassess at that point, but eventually I expect $70 to hit and finally we'll see it move down to about $50 which will probably be near the major bottom.
If $131.50 holds, then the dump will be delayed to a future date, will look for longs instead. If it can bounce and reclaim the trendline from the August low, I'd look for longs on a retest there or any decent dips really. We may end up making a new ATH and hitting that $170 target from the triangle breakout. Should be a big move either way, definitely worth watching as it will have a big impact on the broader market as well.
Trade active
They never make it easy do they...
Went from what looked like a bear trap back to another bull trap. I still think it's possible to recover but it needs to do it fast. For now shorting below $131.50 with a target of around $110-$115 to start.
You reap what you sow.
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Disclaimer:
The ideas I post do not always represent my positions and they are intended for educational purposes. Trading is risky! Most traders lose money.
ko-fi.com/shop/settings?src=sidemenu&productType=1
Disclaimer:
The ideas I post do not always represent my positions and they are intended for educational purposes. Trading is risky! Most traders lose money.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
You reap what you sow.
ko-fi.com/shop/settings?src=sidemenu&productType=1
Disclaimer:
The ideas I post do not always represent my positions and they are intended for educational purposes. Trading is risky! Most traders lose money.
ko-fi.com/shop/settings?src=sidemenu&productType=1
Disclaimer:
The ideas I post do not always represent my positions and they are intended for educational purposes. Trading is risky! Most traders lose money.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.