NVIDIA

Nvidia Maintains Bearish Bias After Earnings

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Nvidia released its quarterly earnings yesterday, and since then, market confidence triggered a significant bullish gap that pushed the stock price up by nearly 5%. However, in recent hours, a new bearish bias has started to emerge, steadily closing the gap as the market digests the company’s latest report.

Nvidia reported $44 billion in revenue, slightly above the $43 billion expected, while earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.77, below the $0.87 forecast. Nevertheless, the most notable aspect of the report was the announcement of an estimated $8 billion revenue loss due to U.S. export restrictions. In response, CEO Jensen Huang strongly criticized these measures, warning that they could negatively impact the company’s performance in the coming months.

Uptrend Channel Remains Intact

Since early April, Nvidia has maintained a steady upward channel. Although a slight bearish bias has emerged recently, it is not yet strong enough to pose a threat to the broader bullish trend seen in recent months. Therefore, this technical structure remains the most important pattern for the upcoming sessions.

Technical Indicators:

RSI: The Relative Strength Index has begun to show signs of a possible bearish divergence, as lower highs on the RSI contrast with higher highs in the stock price. This mismatch could signal short-term corrective movements.

MACD: The MACD, meanwhile, continues to oscillate around the zero line, indicating a balance between buying and selling pressure. As long as the histogram remains near this level, it suggests neutral momentum in price direction.

Key Levels to Watch:
  • $140 USD: Current resistance level where short-term selling pressure may emerge.

  • $150 USD: Distant resistance around January highs. A breakout toward this level could support a stronger bullish channel.

  • $125 USD: Important support that coincides with the 200-period moving average. A bearish move toward this level could break the current bullish formation.



Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst

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