Hey what's up everyone. Here's an analysis on 
NVDA 👇🏽
💹Trade Analysis & Setup
🔼 Bullish Case (Targets: $129 - $141.88 - $150+)
🔻 Bearish Risks (Key Support & Breakdown Levels)
🚀 My Trade Plan
NVDA’s Daily & Monthly Broadening Formations confirm high volatility & liquidity expansion. The next major move is likely earnings-driven.
If NVDA clears $129, I will hold my calls. If support at $113 fails, I may exit early.
💡 Trade Details:
Position: NVDA $180c 16 MAY 25
Entry Price: $2.60
Current Price: $1.72
P/L Open: (-$85.66) / (-33.8%)
Delta: 11.36 (~0.11)
Theta: (-3.53)
Key Catalyst: Earnings on Feb 21, 2025
NVDA 👇🏽💹Trade Analysis & Setup
- NVIDIA (NVDA) is currently trading at $116.66, showing high volatility inside a Broadening Formation (BF) on both the daily and monthly timeframes.
- This setup is a textbook liquidity expansion pattern, where price is making higher highs and lower lows within a widening megaphone structure.
- The key catalyst in play is NVDA earnings on Feb 21, 2025, which could drive significant price action and IV expansion.
🔼 Bullish Case (Targets: $129 - $141.88 - $150+)
- Earnings Catalyst (Feb 21): AI demand remains strong, with NVDA leading the semiconductor market.
- Breakout Zone at $123-$125: NVDA must reclaim this zone to shift into an uptrend.
- $129 (Prior Weekly High): A breakout here could bring momentum buyers & institutions into play.
- Gap Fill to $141.88: Major upside potential exists if NVDA can sustain bullish momentum post-earnings.
🔻 Bearish Risks (Key Support & Breakdown Levels)
- Daily Lower BF Break (~$113-$115): If this level fails, downside could accelerate toward $110-$105.
- Monthly Broadening Formation Lower Level (~$100-$95): Extreme downside risk in the worst-case scenario.
- Earnings Disappointment: If NVDA’s report fails to meet expectations, a strong move down is possible.
- Theta Decay Impact: My contract loses value daily (~$3.53 per day), so a slow move up is not favorable.
- IV Crush Post-Earnings: If NVDA doesn’t move much after earnings, option value could rapidly drop.
🚀 My Trade Plan
- Bullish Breakout Plan: Hold if NVDA reclaims $123-$129, targeting $141-$150+ before March-April.
- Earnings Play Strategy: Hold through earnings ONLY IF NVDA builds strength into Feb 21.
- Exit if $113 breaks below with strong volume to prevent further downside losses.
NVDA’s Daily & Monthly Broadening Formations confirm high volatility & liquidity expansion. The next major move is likely earnings-driven.
If NVDA clears $129, I will hold my calls. If support at $113 fails, I may exit early.
💡 Trade Details:
Position: NVDA $180c 16 MAY 25
Entry Price: $2.60
Current Price: $1.72
P/L Open: (-$85.66) / (-33.8%)
Delta: 11.36 (~0.11)
Theta: (-3.53)
Key Catalyst: Earnings on Feb 21, 2025
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.