5/14/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: 
NXT
U ready?
- results AMC today
- stock has run nicely on, frankly, a number of solar-positive headlines/ regulation and decent results from comps (
ARRY) and even donuts (
RUN).
- realistically, mgmt tends to be conservative, so based on this run... that's the potential for give-back
- but results should be solid
- i remain of the view that we'll print a $1 bn revenue quarter at some pt this year
- so direction is higher
- and i'm only adding on any dips
- $40 was the new $30... now $50 is the new $40. so i'm a buyer in the mid 40s with conviction
- let's see.
- sized about 20% on 2x leverage. not a small position, also not as big as it was prior to the dippity do dah.
- but worked back to high water mk on portfolio (+25% YTD), so looking to neck out on high conviction picks, but still back to stacking about 20% cash in the book for potential dip buys and strategic situations.
- i remain of the view that
OBTC remains a top pick, too, which is 10% off spot BTC and about 25% of book.
be well. let's see.
V
NXTU ready?
- results AMC today
- stock has run nicely on, frankly, a number of solar-positive headlines/ regulation and decent results from comps (
ARRY) and even donuts (RUN). - realistically, mgmt tends to be conservative, so based on this run... that's the potential for give-back
- but results should be solid
- i remain of the view that we'll print a $1 bn revenue quarter at some pt this year
- so direction is higher
- and i'm only adding on any dips
- $40 was the new $30... now $50 is the new $40. so i'm a buyer in the mid 40s with conviction
- let's see.
- sized about 20% on 2x leverage. not a small position, also not as big as it was prior to the dippity do dah.
- but worked back to high water mk on portfolio (+25% YTD), so looking to neck out on high conviction picks, but still back to stacking about 20% cash in the book for potential dip buys and strategic situations.
- i remain of the view that
OBTC remains a top pick, too, which is 10% off spot BTC and about 25% of book.be well. let's see.
V
Note
Howard WengerExecutiveSure Phil. So we've had sequential growth in our backlog since going public every quarter, and this last quarter was no exception. We had record revenue and we still at $924 million, and we still increased backlog sequentially. So that gives you some color on the booking strength this quarter. And as far as in the coming quarters, our pipeline is healthy.
That's really the takeaway folks.
10% revenue growth this year, FCF growing by 20%, a lot of which will be reinvested to maintain their leadership so FCF yield (even after these investments remains 6-7% and normalized, still close to 10%).
Does it re-test $50 or even mid 40s? Eventually, in the wrong tape beta... yuh probs. But I'll find any reasonable dip an oppty to continue scaling up this core position.
V
Trade active
trimmed a bit at 60, keeping it at 25% of book.would like to see it lower like my friend's comment below to reload
but this thing is probably overbot at $60 on this result which will keep #s from heading higher ST (ests.)
obvi i think they're super low
they almost put up that billy quarter we've been talking/ writing about. it's coming.
today i'm dip buying
GAMB as you might have seen my post :) so recycling capital a bitV
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.