NZD/CAD
Short

NZDCAD Ascending Channel Counter-Trend Strategy

STRATEGY: NZDCAD Ascending Channel Counter-Trend Strategy


DETAILS
Long Term Trend Time Frame: 1D/4H
Focus Time Frame: 4H
Entry Time Frame: 1H

Market Condition
Long Term: Downtrend (based on 1D TF/200EMA)
Short Term: Uptrend/Consolidation (based ion 1D TF/10EMA and 50EMA) inside Ascending Channel


CHART PATTERN: Ascending Channel


Area of Value (AOV)
RESISTANCE
  • Static: 0.85201 - 0.85075

Dynamic:
  • 83EMA: 0.84701
  • 100EMA: 0.85002



SUPPORT:
Static:
Minor: 0.83774 - 0.83683
Major: 0.83385 - 0.83158
Dynamic:
- 10EMA: 0.84220
- 50EMA: 0.84146


ENTRY TRIGGER(s):
1H: Bearish Engulfing
4H: NA
1D: High Momentum Candlestick going to Resistance

Entry Price (EP): 0.84759
Stop Loss (SL): 0.84953
Take Profit (TP): 0.84059
RRR: 4.02


ANALYSIS

1D - Overall trend is showing downtrend based on 1D TF - 200EMA. Heikin Ashi is still uptrend but the price is currently struggling to break above resistance level of 0.85201 - 0.85075. It is also supported by 83EMA and 100EMA which act as Dynamic Resistance.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/ogQjS3e9/

tradingview.com/x/ogQjS3e9/]https://www.tradingview.com/x/ogQjS3e9/

4H - Looking at the 4H TF, we can see that Price is moving on an Ascending Channel. Short term trend showing uptrend which is supported by Heikin Ashi. However, as stated before, the price is currently struggling to break above Static and Dynamic Resistance on a higher Timeframe (1D). We will give more weight on a higher timeframe as Smart Money focuses on this time frame.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/zAkYy7Ms/
https://www.tradingview.com/x/taaa993g/

tradingview.com/x/zAkYy7Ms/]https://www.tradingview.com/x/zAkYy7Ms/
tradingview.com/x/taaa993g/]https://www.tradingview.com/x/taaa993g/

1H - Our Entry Triggers are always on 1H TF. Here we see that there's a Bearish Engulfing Price Action happened on the Static Resistance AOV. This acts as our Entry Trigger.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/QoCqnbhg/
https://www.tradingview.com/x/k31xAPki/

tradingview.com/x/QoCqnbhg/]https://www.tradingview.com/x/QoCqnbhg/
tradingview.com/x/k31xAPki/]https://www.tradingview.com/x/k31xAPki/


OTHER ENTRY REASON(s):
High Momentum price action approaching resistance usually reverses as it has no higher highs to support its move.


ACTION ITEMS:
1. Exit/TP on Higher Timeframes: 4H or 1D
2. Scale in on Entry Timeframe (1H).


IMPORTANT:
Always move the SL on Breakeven after significant move.
Scale in as necessary and move the TP of the initial entry to the SL of new entry. This way, we will be able to Minimize risk and Maximize potential Profit.


NOTE: This post is for my reference/journal purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
Ascending ChannelBearish EngulfinghighmomentumhighmomentumcandlestickmaximizeprofitminimizeriskMoving AveragesMultiple Time Frame Analysismulti-timeframe-analysisParallel Channelscale-in

Disclaimer