NZDUSD on RBNZ rates and monetary policy announcement, US minute
INTRO
A rise of 75 basis points is the order of the day.
Retail sales on Thursday may bring volatility to the Kiwi
0.62 (61.8% fibonacci) is the new resistance to beat
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW
The Chinese economy continues to be impacted by COVID, impacting stocks and markets. The currency pair was affected by a slowdown in its gains as the U.S. dollar index found refuge for investors globally. There are several announcements today Tuesday that could bring volatility to the NZDUSD currency pair. Rates are expected to rise as markets see no slowdown in hawkish U.S. economic policy.
European Central Bank Governing Council member Robert Holzmann said on Tuesday he had not yet decided to vote at the next rate-setting meeting in December, but would favor a 0.75 cent hike unless there was a significant improvement.
TECHNICAL OVERVIEW
Strong resistance has kiwi bulls frustrated. The confluence of EMA200 and the 0.62 level (61.8% Fibonacci) has investors considering a continuation of the call. The pair is up 12.5% from a low of 0.55 hit in October. A bearish channel on the daily bar chart has been broken, but the uptrend could change due to expected volatility from the rate decision and Thursday's meeting minutes. Confirmation of the 0.60 level as support could lead the pair to seek resistance at 0.64 (50% Fibonacci).
A rise of 75 basis points is the order of the day.
Retail sales on Thursday may bring volatility to the Kiwi
0.62 (61.8% fibonacci) is the new resistance to beat
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW
The Chinese economy continues to be impacted by COVID, impacting stocks and markets. The currency pair was affected by a slowdown in its gains as the U.S. dollar index found refuge for investors globally. There are several announcements today Tuesday that could bring volatility to the NZDUSD currency pair. Rates are expected to rise as markets see no slowdown in hawkish U.S. economic policy.
European Central Bank Governing Council member Robert Holzmann said on Tuesday he had not yet decided to vote at the next rate-setting meeting in December, but would favor a 0.75 cent hike unless there was a significant improvement.
TECHNICAL OVERVIEW
Strong resistance has kiwi bulls frustrated. The confluence of EMA200 and the 0.62 level (61.8% Fibonacci) has investors considering a continuation of the call. The pair is up 12.5% from a low of 0.55 hit in October. A bearish channel on the daily bar chart has been broken, but the uptrend could change due to expected volatility from the rate decision and Thursday's meeting minutes. Confirmation of the 0.60 level as support could lead the pair to seek resistance at 0.64 (50% Fibonacci).
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