Here We omiseGO Again! Why Buy High?
#OMGUSD has gone vertical, following along with the recent surge in capital flowing back into alt coins. As usual, there is hype everywhere, no different than when Bitcoin was pushing toward 20K back in 2017. Human nature is what drives ALL financial markets and it does not change. I write this to offer some technical perspective and clarity in order to help you make a more RATIONAL choice when you observe a chart that looks like this. (Have you seen Kodak stock?)
The 3.00 area is a significant resistance that dates back to over a year (look back on your chart). Just like Bitcoin, the probability of selling activity is high here. The EFFECTIVE behavior here is to partial out of a winning position (if long from lower prices) and let a small portion run to see how far momentum can carry this thing.
If you are not in, the LEAST effective behavior is to buy into this now, thinking it will run to 10, or some other number that the hypesters are hyping about. The herd is what drives the price, while the smart money (those who operate with some form of valuable information) capitalize on their reactions.
Charts and technical analysis can provide ways to measure risk and prepare for higher probability opportunities IN ADVANCE. The low 2.00 area is the current support point that is in play. Meaning, IF price retraces from current levels, the most attractive location in terms of probability is this the 2.00 area. Smart money waits for these, and assume no risk in the process.
If you are a new investor, and you find yourself consuming "news", "fundamental stories", and advice from inexperienced and self proclaimed authorities, you are much more likely to act irrationally. And it is this irrational behavior that drives the herd mentality. Learn to recognize the market from the behavior perspective. Charts serve only as a starting point.
The 3.00 area is a significant resistance that dates back to over a year (look back on your chart). Just like Bitcoin, the probability of selling activity is high here. The EFFECTIVE behavior here is to partial out of a winning position (if long from lower prices) and let a small portion run to see how far momentum can carry this thing.
If you are not in, the LEAST effective behavior is to buy into this now, thinking it will run to 10, or some other number that the hypesters are hyping about. The herd is what drives the price, while the smart money (those who operate with some form of valuable information) capitalize on their reactions.
Charts and technical analysis can provide ways to measure risk and prepare for higher probability opportunities IN ADVANCE. The low 2.00 area is the current support point that is in play. Meaning, IF price retraces from current levels, the most attractive location in terms of probability is this the 2.00 area. Smart money waits for these, and assume no risk in the process.
If you are a new investor, and you find yourself consuming "news", "fundamental stories", and advice from inexperienced and self proclaimed authorities, you are much more likely to act irrationally. And it is this irrational behavior that drives the herd mentality. Learn to recognize the market from the behavior perspective. Charts serve only as a starting point.
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